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icon for ¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de octubre?
Política·Trump

¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de octubre?

icon for ¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de octubre?
Política·Trump

¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de octubre?

oct 31

ene 1, 2027

oct 31

ene 1, 2027

Sí

13% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Sí

13% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Howard Lutnick remains the confirmed Secretary of Commerce, actively leading tariff negotiations, semiconductor policy, and trade initiatives with partners including Japan and Mexico as of early September 2026. President Trump has publicly backed him amid earlier 2026 scrutiny over Epstein-related disclosures and internal cabinet discussions, with no subsequent announcements of resignation, removal, or replacement. Lutnick continues high-profile engagements on AI infrastructure, critical minerals, and domestic manufacturing incentives, reflecting sustained administration priorities. These factors align with trader consensus reflected in the 87.5% implied probability against departure by October 31, as no procedural or political triggers for an imminent exit have materialized.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 9:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Howard Lutnick remains the confirmed Secretary of Commerce, actively leading tariff negotiations, semiconductor policy, and trade initiatives with partners including Japan and Mexico as of early September 2026. President Trump has publicly backed him amid earlier 2026 scrutiny over Epstein-related disclosures and internal cabinet discussions, with no subsequent announcements of resignation, removal, or replacement. Lutnick continues high-profile engagements on AI infrastructure, critical minerals, and domestic manufacturing incentives, reflecting sustained administration priorities. These factors align with trader consensus reflected in the 87.5% implied probability against departure by October 31, as no procedural or political triggers for an imminent exit have materialized.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 9:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de octubre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Howard Lutnick fuera como Secretario de Comercio para el 31 de octubre?" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 13¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 13% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de octubre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 3, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de octubre?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de octubre?" es "¿Howard Lutnick fuera como Secretario de Comercio para el 31 de octubre?" con 13%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 13% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Howard Lutnick dejará de ser Secretario de Comercio antes del 31 de octubre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.