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icon for ¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?

ene 1, 2027

ene 1, 2027

$1,664,899 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$1,664,899 Vol.

Polymarket

Kuwait

$76,142 Vol.

10%

Somalilandia

$117,089 Vol.

9%

Líbano

$76,955 Vol.

8%

Arabia Saudita

$349,227 Vol.

8%

Siria

$164,512 Vol.

7%

Jordan

$9,994 Vol.

7%

Egypt

$7,414 Vol.

6%

Qatar

$8,800 Vol.

5%

Omán

$182,170 Vol.

5%

Azerbaiyán

$175,784 Vol.

5%

Pakistan

$9,051 Vol.

3%

Turkey

$487,763 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.US diplomatic incentives, including ties between civilian nuclear cooperation, defense agreements, and Abraham Accords accession, represent the leading driver of current trader positioning for new members before 2027. Saudi Arabia has reiterated its requirement for a clear pathway to Palestinian statehood, keeping its odds low despite repeated US calls for simultaneous signings by Riyadh and others such as Qatar or Jordan. Recent momentum includes Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession as the first Central Asian participant, Israel-Morocco upgrades to full embassies and direct flights announced in September 2026, and Israeli assessments that Kuwait could join within months amid shared security concerns over Iran-backed threats. Expansion efforts also target incremental or non-Arab states while major Arab normalization remains constrained by the Palestinian issue and domestic politics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,664,899
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 2:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.US diplomatic incentives, including ties between civilian nuclear cooperation, defense agreements, and Abraham Accords accession, represent the leading driver of current trader positioning for new members before 2027. Saudi Arabia has reiterated its requirement for a clear pathway to Palestinian statehood, keeping its odds low despite repeated US calls for simultaneous signings by Riyadh and others such as Qatar or Jordan. Recent momentum includes Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession as the first Central Asian participant, Israel-Morocco upgrades to full embassies and direct flights announced in September 2026, and Israeli assessments that Kuwait could join within months amid shared security concerns over Iran-backed threats. Expansion efforts also target incremental or non-Arab states while major Arab normalization remains constrained by the Palestinian issue and domestic politics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,664,899
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 2:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Kuwait" con 10%, seguido de "Somalilandia" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 10¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" ha generado $1.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" es "Kuwait" con 10%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Somalilandia" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.