Tom Sell secured the Republican nomination for Texas' 19th Congressional District after a decisive May 2026 primary runoff victory and faces Democrat Kyle Rable in the November general election for the open seat previously held by retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. The sprawling West Texas district has posted consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 2024 presidential performance of R+51.7, which underpins trader consensus around Sell's commanding position. Sell's campaign has drawn substantial establishment support and fundraising exceeding $2 million, while Rable's effort remains limited in resources and organization. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national swing could still alter the outcome before Election Day, though structural factors in this solidly Republican district limit realistic paths for the Democratic nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-19
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-19
$25,027 Vol.
$25,027 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Tom Sell (R)
95%
Kyle Rable (D)
5%
$25,027 Vol.
$25,027 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Tom Sell (R)
$2,921 Vol.
95%
Kyle Rable (D)
$22,106 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Sell secured the Republican nomination for Texas' 19th Congressional District after a decisive May 2026 primary runoff victory and faces Democrat Kyle Rable in the November general election for the open seat previously held by retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. The sprawling West Texas district has posted consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 2024 presidential performance of R+51.7, which underpins trader consensus around Sell's commanding position. Sell's campaign has drawn substantial establishment support and fundraising exceeding $2 million, while Rable's effort remains limited in resources and organization. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national swing could still alter the outcome before Election Day, though structural factors in this solidly Republican district limit realistic paths for the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$25,027Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Sell secured the Republican nomination for Texas' 19th Congressional District after a decisive May 2026 primary runoff victory and faces Democrat Kyle Rable in the November general election for the open seat previously held by retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. The sprawling West Texas district has posted consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 2024 presidential performance of R+51.7, which underpins trader consensus around Sell's commanding position. Sell's campaign has drawn substantial establishment support and fundraising exceeding $2 million, while Rable's effort remains limited in resources and organization. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national swing could still alter the outcome before Election Day, though structural factors in this solidly Republican district limit realistic paths for the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,027Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Sell secured the Republican nomination for Texas' 19th Congressional District after a decisive May 2026 primary runoff victory and faces Democrat Kyle Rable in the November general election for the open seat previously held by retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. The sprawling West Texas district has posted consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 2024 presidential performance of R+51.7, which underpins trader consensus around Sell's commanding position. Sell's campaign has drawn substantial establishment support and fundraising exceeding $2 million, while Rable's effort remains limited in resources and organization. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national swing could still alter the outcome before Election Day, though structural factors in this solidly Republican district limit realistic paths for the Democratic nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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