**Flash drought driven by persistent hot, dry weather across the southern Great Plains and into the Mississippi River Valley has rapidly intensified conditions, expanding exceptional (D4) drought areas in multiple states.** The U.S. Drought Monitor, produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center with NOAA and USDA input, classifies D4 based on extreme precipitation deficits, depleted soil moisture, low streamflows, and agricultural impacts relative to historical baselines. Recent weekly summaries note degradation from Texas northeastward through Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, Arkansas, and adjacent areas, with additional D4 pockets in parts of the northern Plains, Idaho, Colorado, and isolated Southeast locations such as North Carolina. This has elevated the number of affected states, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 10 or more states (57%). Warmer-than-normal temperatures have amplified evapotranspiration, while the lack of relief precipitation sustains the trend; the next USDM update will incorporate any late-week changes before final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos estados estarán en D4 (sequía excepcional) — semana del 8 de septiembre de 2026?
10 o más estados 57%
3-4 estados 37%
5-6 estados 37%
7-9 estados 37%
0 estados
1%
1-2 estados
34%
3-4 estados
37%
5-6 estados
37%
7-9 estados
37%
10 o más estados
57%
10 o más estados 57%
3-4 estados 37%
5-6 estados 37%
7-9 estados 37%
0 estados
1%
1-2 estados
34%
3-4 estados
37%
5-6 estados
37%
7-9 estados
37%
10 o más estados
57%
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Fuente de resolución
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Flash drought driven by persistent hot, dry weather across the southern Great Plains and into the Mississippi River Valley has rapidly intensified conditions, expanding exceptional (D4) drought areas in multiple states.** The U.S. Drought Monitor, produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center with NOAA and USDA input, classifies D4 based on extreme precipitation deficits, depleted soil moisture, low streamflows, and agricultural impacts relative to historical baselines. Recent weekly summaries note degradation from Texas northeastward through Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, Arkansas, and adjacent areas, with additional D4 pockets in parts of the northern Plains, Idaho, Colorado, and isolated Southeast locations such as North Carolina. This has elevated the number of affected states, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 10 or more states (57%). Warmer-than-normal temperatures have amplified evapotranspiration, while the lack of relief precipitation sustains the trend; the next USDM update will incorporate any late-week changes before final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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