Recent hot and dry conditions across the central and southern U.S., following the warmest June-August on record, have driven flash drought intensification and expansion of exceptional (D4) drought on the U.S. Drought Monitor. As of the September 17 map (data valid September 15), D4 covers roughly 1.7% of the contiguous U.S., with notable areas in central Colorado (15%+ of the state), northern North Carolina counties, western Nebraska, southern Idaho, northern Nevada, northeastern Oregon, and parts of Texas and Oklahoma. The next USDM update, released September 24 with data through September 22, will determine outcomes for the target week. Limited rainfall is forecast across most of these regions through mid-week, alongside above-normal temperatures, supporting persistence of D4 conditions while any late-week precipitation could limit further degradation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSequía excepcional (D4) por estado — semana del 22 de septiembre de 2026

Alabama
4%

Arizona
3%

Arkansas
95%

California
4%

Colorado
97%

Delaware
3%

Florida
5%

Georgia
4%

Idaho
94%

Illinois
4%

Indiana
4%

Iowa
3%

Kansas
3%

Kentucky
4%

Luisiana
3%

Maryland
3%

Minnesota
3%

Mississippi
94%

Misuri
5%

Montana
4%

Nebraska
93%

Nevada
96%

Nueva Jersey
4%

Nuevo México
93%

Carolina del Norte
79%

Dakota del Norte
5%

Ohio
4%

Oklahoma
97%

Oregón
96%

Pensilvania
4%

Carolina del Sur
4%

Dakota del Sur
4%

Tennessee
4%

Texas
96%

Utah
88%

Virginia
4%

Washington
4%

Virginia Occidental
4%

Wisconsin
5%

Wyoming
5%
$427 Vol.

Alabama
4%

Arizona
3%

Arkansas
95%

California
4%

Colorado
97%

Delaware
3%

Florida
5%

Georgia
4%

Idaho
94%

Illinois
4%

Indiana
4%

Iowa
3%

Kansas
3%

Kentucky
4%

Luisiana
3%

Maryland
3%

Minnesota
3%

Mississippi
94%

Misuri
5%

Montana
4%

Nebraska
93%

Nevada
96%

Nueva Jersey
4%

Nuevo México
93%

Carolina del Norte
79%

Dakota del Norte
5%

Ohio
4%

Oklahoma
97%

Oregón
96%

Pensilvania
4%

Carolina del Sur
4%

Dakota del Sur
4%

Tennessee
4%

Texas
96%

Utah
88%

Virginia
4%

Washington
4%

Virginia Occidental
4%

Wisconsin
5%

Wyoming
5%
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 22, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Fuente de resolución
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hot and dry conditions across the central and southern U.S., following the warmest June-August on record, have driven flash drought intensification and expansion of exceptional (D4) drought on the U.S. Drought Monitor. As of the September 17 map (data valid September 15), D4 covers roughly 1.7% of the contiguous U.S., with notable areas in central Colorado (15%+ of the state), northern North Carolina counties, western Nebraska, southern Idaho, northern Nevada, northeastern Oregon, and parts of Texas and Oklahoma. The next USDM update, released September 24 with data through September 22, will determine outcomes for the target week. Limited rainfall is forecast across most of these regions through mid-week, alongside above-normal temperatures, supporting persistence of D4 conditions while any late-week precipitation could limit further degradation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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