The by-election for Samoa’s Falealili 1 seat, scheduled for 18 September 2026, follows the Court of Appeal’s upholding of rulings that voided former Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s 2025 FAST victory over bribery allegations. FAST has nominated four candidates, including frontrunner Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale, while HRPP fields Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu and Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko returns as a contender; several independents complete a fragmented field. Pre-polling begins 16 September, with no public polling available to clarify preferences. Trader consensus reflects the multi-candidate dynamics and potential for vote splitting among major-party supporters, keeping probabilities closely matched until final-week campaigning or turnout signals emerge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAuseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 37%
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 28%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 20%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 6.6%
$13,535 Vol.
$13,535 Vol.

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
37%

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
28%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko
20%

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai
7%

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu
5%

Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea
4%

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
4%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 37%
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 28%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 20%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 6.6%
$13,535 Vol.
$13,535 Vol.

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
37%

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
28%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko
20%

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai
7%

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu
5%

Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea
4%

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
4%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The by-election for Samoa’s Falealili 1 seat, scheduled for 18 September 2026, follows the Court of Appeal’s upholding of rulings that voided former Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s 2025 FAST victory over bribery allegations. FAST has nominated four candidates, including frontrunner Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale, while HRPP fields Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu and Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko returns as a contender; several independents complete a fragmented field. Pre-polling begins 16 September, with no public polling available to clarify preferences. Trader consensus reflects the multi-candidate dynamics and potential for vote splitting among major-party supporters, keeping probabilities closely matched until final-week campaigning or turnout signals emerge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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