Recent polling in Pernambuco's October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates, shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a clear lead for first place while Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) remain tightly grouped in the battle for second. September surveys from RealTime Big Data and DataTrends place Costa and Mendonça Filho within a few points of each other behind Arraes, with substantial undecided and blank ballots sustaining volatility. Local mayor endorsements and cross-party alliances tied to Governor Raquel Lyra's base have not yet produced decisive separation. A scheduled debate and any late shifts in turnout or coalition messaging could still reorder the middle of the field before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHumberto Costa 47%
Mendonça Filho 36%
Marília Arraes 20.1%
Eduardo da Fonte 4.5%
$33,924 Vol.
$33,924 Vol.
Humberto Costa
47%
Mendonça Filho
36%
Marília Arraes
20%
Eduardo da Fonte
5%
Túlio Gadêlha
4%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
Humberto Costa 47%
Mendonça Filho 36%
Marília Arraes 20.1%
Eduardo da Fonte 4.5%
$33,924 Vol.
$33,924 Vol.
Humberto Costa
47%
Mendonça Filho
36%
Marília Arraes
20%
Eduardo da Fonte
5%
Túlio Gadêlha
4%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Pernambuco's October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates, shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a clear lead for first place while Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) remain tightly grouped in the battle for second. September surveys from RealTime Big Data and DataTrends place Costa and Mendonça Filho within a few points of each other behind Arraes, with substantial undecided and blank ballots sustaining volatility. Local mayor endorsements and cross-party alliances tied to Governor Raquel Lyra's base have not yet produced decisive separation. A scheduled debate and any late shifts in turnout or coalition messaging could still reorder the middle of the field before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?
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¿Bia Kicis obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado del Distrito Federal de 2026?
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes