Jerônimo Rodrigues, the incumbent PT governor seeking reelection, holds the leading position in trader assessments for the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting the party's longstanding dominance in Bahia since 2007 and structural advantages in turnout and organization. ACM Neto of União Brasil trails as the main challenger, drawing on his prior close 2022 runoff performance and regional name recognition from his Salvador mayoralty. Recent September polling from Real Time Big Data shows a technical tie in both rounds, with candidates separated by one point or less amid ongoing campaign walks, rallies, and interior outreach by both frontrunners. Other listed contenders register negligible support consistent with their limited polling visibility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Bahía
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Bahía
Jerônimo Rodrigues 61%
ACM Neto 32%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$154,006 Vol.
$154,006 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
61%
ACM Neto
38%
João Roma
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 61%
ACM Neto 32%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$154,006 Vol.
$154,006 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$50,787 Vol.
61%
ACM Neto
$61,095 Vol.
38%
João Roma
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$11,986 Vol.
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$13,880 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues, the incumbent PT governor seeking reelection, holds the leading position in trader assessments for the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting the party's longstanding dominance in Bahia since 2007 and structural advantages in turnout and organization. ACM Neto of União Brasil trails as the main challenger, drawing on his prior close 2022 runoff performance and regional name recognition from his Salvador mayoralty. Recent September polling from Real Time Big Data shows a technical tie in both rounds, with candidates separated by one point or less amid ongoing campaign walks, rallies, and interior outreach by both frontrunners. Other listed contenders register negligible support consistent with their limited polling visibility.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volumen
$154,006Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues, the incumbent PT governor seeking reelection, holds the leading position in trader assessments for the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting the party's longstanding dominance in Bahia since 2007 and structural advantages in turnout and organization. ACM Neto of União Brasil trails as the main challenger, drawing on his prior close 2022 runoff performance and regional name recognition from his Salvador mayoralty. Recent September polling from Real Time Big Data shows a technical tie in both rounds, with candidates separated by one point or less amid ongoing campaign walks, rallies, and interior outreach by both frontrunners. Other listed contenders register negligible support consistent with their limited polling visibility.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$154,006Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerônimo Rodrigues, the incumbent PT governor seeking reelection, holds the leading position in trader assessments for the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting the party's longstanding dominance in Bahia since 2007 and structural advantages in turnout and organization. ACM Neto of União Brasil trails as the main challenger, drawing on his prior close 2022 runoff performance and regional name recognition from his Salvador mayoralty. Recent September polling from Real Time Big Data shows a technical tie in both rounds, with candidates separated by one point or less amid ongoing campaign walks, rallies, and interior outreach by both frontrunners. Other listed contenders register negligible support consistent with their limited polling visibility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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