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icon for Óscar 2027: Ganadora a la mejor película

Óscar 2027: Ganadora a la mejor película

icon for Óscar 2027: Ganadora a la mejor película

Óscar 2027: Ganadora a la mejor película

The Odyssey 49%

La Bola Negra 31%

Dune: Parte Tres 12%

Digger 5.1%

Polymarket

$220,986 Vol.

The Odyssey 49%

La Bola Negra 31%

Dune: Parte Tres 12%

Digger 5.1%

Polymarket

$220,986 Vol.

The Odyssey

$129,585 Vol.

49%

La Bola Negra

$10,096 Vol.

31%

Dune: Parte Tres

$18,771 Vol.

12%

Digger

$11,015 Vol.

5%

Wild Horse Nine

$8,640 Vol.

5%

The Debut

$6,098 Vol.

2%

Fjord

$4,935 Vol.

2%

¡Behemoth!

$4,041 Vol.

1%

The Invite

$1,681 Vol.

1%

Proyecto Hail Mary

$4,673 Vol.

<1%

The Drama

$1,606 Vol.

<1%

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

$1,473 Vol.

<1%

Clarissa

$1,440 Vol.

<1%

Saturn Return

$1,455 Vol.

<1%

Tony

$3,634 Vol.

<1%

Disclosure Day

$1,500 Vol.

<1%

Fatherland

$1,435 Vol.

<1%

All of a Sudden

$2,466 Vol.

<1%

Josephine

$1,652 Vol.

<1%

The Social Reckoning

$1,560 Vol.

<1%

Michael

$1,612 Vol.

<1%

Avengers: Doomsday

$1,616 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads trader sentiment at 49% implied probability as Christopher Nolan’s summer epic benefits from strong critical reception, box-office performance, and Academy goodwill following Oppenheimer. La Bola Negra sits at 29.5% after its Cannes acclaim and Toronto People’s Choice win, positioning the Netflix Spanish-language drama as the clearest alternative with guild-friendly themes and international appeal. Dune: Part Three trails at 12% on trilogy-completion momentum, while Wild Horse Nine, Project Hail Mary, and festival titles like Fjord and The Debut remain longer shots. With the 2026 release slate still unfolding and no dominant precursor results yet, the wide field reflects uncertainty ahead of guild nominations and the March 2027 ceremony.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$220,986
Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads trader sentiment at 49% implied probability as Christopher Nolan’s summer epic benefits from strong critical reception, box-office performance, and Academy goodwill following Oppenheimer. La Bola Negra sits at 29.5% after its Cannes acclaim and Toronto People’s Choice win, positioning the Netflix Spanish-language drama as the clearest alternative with guild-friendly themes and international appeal. Dune: Part Three trails at 12% on trilogy-completion momentum, while Wild Horse Nine, Project Hail Mary, and festival titles like Fjord and The Debut remain longer shots. With the 2026 release slate still unfolding and no dominant precursor results yet, the wide field reflects uncertainty ahead of guild nominations and the March 2027 ceremony.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$220,986
Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Óscar 2027: Ganadora a la mejor película" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 22 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "The Odyssey" con 49%, seguido de "La Bola Negra" con 31%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 49¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Óscar 2027: Ganadora a la mejor película" ha generado $221K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Óscar 2027: Ganadora a la mejor película", explora los 22 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Óscar 2027: Ganadora a la mejor película" es "The Odyssey" con 49%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "La Bola Negra" con 31%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Óscar 2027: Ganadora a la mejor película" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.