Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 62.5% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign that produced over 60 goals across all competitions for Bayern Munich, domestic titles including the Bundesliga, and a strong World Cup showing with England reaching the semifinals. Spain's World Cup victory elevates collective contributors like Rodri and Lamine Yamal, though the latter's injury-limited tournament role caps his standing at 16.2%. Kylian Mbappé sits at 10.9% on the strength of consistent Real Madrid output despite France's earlier exit. Lower probabilities for Messi, Kvaratskhelia, and others reflect fewer standout team achievements or goal tallies relative to the frontrunners ahead of the October ceremony.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHarry Kane 62.5%
Lamine Yamal 16.3%
Kylian Mbappé 10.9%
Rodri 5%
$34,139,562 Vol.
$34,139,562 Vol.
30 oct 2026
Harry Kane
62%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Kylian Mbappé
11%
Rodri
5%
Lionel Messi
3%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabián Ruiz
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martínez
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Díaz
<1%
Pau Cubarsí
<1%
Harry Kane 62.5%
Lamine Yamal 16.3%
Kylian Mbappé 10.9%
Rodri 5%
$34,139,562 Vol.
$34,139,562 Vol.
30 oct 2026
Harry Kane
$4,078,451 Vol.
62%
Lamine Yamal
$2,206,517 Vol.
16%
Kylian Mbappé
$2,138,721 Vol.
11%
Rodri
$1,526,791 Vol.
5%
Lionel Messi
$2,456,412 Vol.
3%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$1,504,155 Vol.
3%
Ousmane Dembélé
$2,211,973 Vol.
1%
Fabián Ruiz
$1,155,120 Vol.
1%
Michael Olise
$1,706,171 Vol.
<1%
Erling Haaland
$1,551,717 Vol.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$1,278,626 Vol.
<1%
Vitinha
$843,015 Vol.
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
$1,069,433 Vol.
<1%
Declan Rice
$864,656 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
$711,222 Vol.
<1%
Lautaro Martínez
$490,016 Vol.
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
$740,083 Vol.
<1%
Luis Díaz
$440,734 Vol.
<1%
Pau Cubarsí
$949,675 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 62.5% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign that produced over 60 goals across all competitions for Bayern Munich, domestic titles including the Bundesliga, and a strong World Cup showing with England reaching the semifinals. Spain's World Cup victory elevates collective contributors like Rodri and Lamine Yamal, though the latter's injury-limited tournament role caps his standing at 16.2%. Kylian Mbappé sits at 10.9% on the strength of consistent Real Madrid output despite France's earlier exit. Lower probabilities for Messi, Kvaratskhelia, and others reflect fewer standout team achievements or goal tallies relative to the frontrunners ahead of the October ceremony.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Volumen
$34,139,562Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 62.5% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign that produced over 60 goals across all competitions for Bayern Munich, domestic titles including the Bundesliga, and a strong World Cup showing with England reaching the semifinals. Spain's World Cup victory elevates collective contributors like Rodri and Lamine Yamal, though the latter's injury-limited tournament role caps his standing at 16.2%. Kylian Mbappé sits at 10.9% on the strength of consistent Real Madrid output despite France's earlier exit. Lower probabilities for Messi, Kvaratskhelia, and others reflect fewer standout team achievements or goal tallies relative to the frontrunners ahead of the October ceremony.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volumen
$34,139,562Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 62.5% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign that produced over 60 goals across all competitions for Bayern Munich, domestic titles including the Bundesliga, and a strong World Cup showing with England reaching the semifinals. Spain's World Cup victory elevates collective contributors like Rodri and Lamine Yamal, though the latter's injury-limited tournament role caps his standing at 16.2%. Kylian Mbappé sits at 10.9% on the strength of consistent Real Madrid output despite France's earlier exit. Lower probabilities for Messi, Kvaratskhelia, and others reflect fewer standout team achievements or goal tallies relative to the frontrunners ahead of the October ceremony.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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