Shontel Brown, the Democratic incumbent, secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 85.5% of the vote against two challengers, while Republican Mike Kirchner advanced from his low-turnout primary. Ohio's 11th Congressional District encompasses Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County suburbs and carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+28 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The wide gap in current market pricing aligns with the district's structural partisanship and Brown's established incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the race, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts suggest limited realistic pathways for the Republican nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-11
$38,426 Vol.
$38,426 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Shontel Brown (D)
99%
Mike Kirchner (R)
1%
$38,426 Vol.
$38,426 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Shontel Brown (D)
$15,629 Vol.
99%
Mike Kirchner (R)
$22,797 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Shontel Brown, the Democratic incumbent, secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 85.5% of the vote against two challengers, while Republican Mike Kirchner advanced from his low-turnout primary. Ohio's 11th Congressional District encompasses Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County suburbs and carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+28 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The wide gap in current market pricing aligns with the district's structural partisanship and Brown's established incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the race, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts suggest limited realistic pathways for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$38,426Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Shontel Brown, the Democratic incumbent, secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 85.5% of the vote against two challengers, while Republican Mike Kirchner advanced from his low-turnout primary. Ohio's 11th Congressional District encompasses Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County suburbs and carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+28 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The wide gap in current market pricing aligns with the district's structural partisanship and Brown's established incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the race, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts suggest limited realistic pathways for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$38,426Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Shontel Brown, the Democratic incumbent, secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 85.5% of the vote against two challengers, while Republican Mike Kirchner advanced from his low-turnout primary. Ohio's 11th Congressional District encompasses Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County suburbs and carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+28 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The wide gap in current market pricing aligns with the district's structural partisanship and Brown's established incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the race, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts suggest limited realistic pathways for the Republican nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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