Anthony Constantino holds a substantial lead in the NY-21 general election market due to the district’s established Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook PVI and Donald Trump’s 20-point margin there in 2024. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary with Trump’s endorsement and heavy self-funding, defeating state Assemblyman Robert Smullen. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, won his party’s primary but faces structural challenges in the open seat previously held by retiring Rep. Elise Stefanik. An August poll showed Constantino ahead by 13 points, consistent with the district’s voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Republicans in midterm cycles. Traders price in these fundamentals and limited recent movement, though the November 3 ballot remains the resolution trigger.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-21
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-21
$65,340 Vol.
$65,340 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Anthony Constantino (R)
74%
Blake Gendebien (D)
26%
$65,340 Vol.
$65,340 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Anthony Constantino (R)
$34,111 Vol.
74%
Blake Gendebien (D)
$31,230 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Anthony Constantino holds a substantial lead in the NY-21 general election market due to the district’s established Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook PVI and Donald Trump’s 20-point margin there in 2024. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary with Trump’s endorsement and heavy self-funding, defeating state Assemblyman Robert Smullen. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, won his party’s primary but faces structural challenges in the open seat previously held by retiring Rep. Elise Stefanik. An August poll showed Constantino ahead by 13 points, consistent with the district’s voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Republicans in midterm cycles. Traders price in these fundamentals and limited recent movement, though the November 3 ballot remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$65,340Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Anthony Constantino holds a substantial lead in the NY-21 general election market due to the district’s established Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook PVI and Donald Trump’s 20-point margin there in 2024. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary with Trump’s endorsement and heavy self-funding, defeating state Assemblyman Robert Smullen. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, won his party’s primary but faces structural challenges in the open seat previously held by retiring Rep. Elise Stefanik. An August poll showed Constantino ahead by 13 points, consistent with the district’s voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Republicans in midterm cycles. Traders price in these fundamentals and limited recent movement, though the November 3 ballot remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$65,340Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthony Constantino holds a substantial lead in the NY-21 general election market due to the district’s established Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook PVI and Donald Trump’s 20-point margin there in 2024. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary with Trump’s endorsement and heavy self-funding, defeating state Assemblyman Robert Smullen. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, won his party’s primary but faces structural challenges in the open seat previously held by retiring Rep. Elise Stefanik. An August poll showed Constantino ahead by 13 points, consistent with the district’s voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Republicans in midterm cycles. Traders price in these fundamentals and limited recent movement, though the November 3 ballot remains the resolution trigger.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes