Brent Taylor secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with former President Trump’s endorsement after Tennessee Republicans redrew the ninth district map to incorporate more rural, Republican-leaning territory stretching from Memphis toward Nashville. The revised boundaries shifted the seat from a long-held Democratic stronghold to one that favored Trump by roughly 22 points in 2024, prompting incumbent Steve Cohen’s retirement. Justin Pearson won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in the altered electorate despite strong fundraising. Election forecasters rate the November 3 contest as safe or solid Republican, aligning with trader pricing that assigns Taylor an 85.5% implied probability of victory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTN-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$43,947 Vol.
$43,947 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brent Taylor (R)
86%
Justin Pearson (D)
14%
$43,947 Vol.
$43,947 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brent Taylor (R)
$24,507 Vol.
86%
Justin Pearson (D)
$19,440 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brent Taylor secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with former President Trump’s endorsement after Tennessee Republicans redrew the ninth district map to incorporate more rural, Republican-leaning territory stretching from Memphis toward Nashville. The revised boundaries shifted the seat from a long-held Democratic stronghold to one that favored Trump by roughly 22 points in 2024, prompting incumbent Steve Cohen’s retirement. Justin Pearson won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in the altered electorate despite strong fundraising. Election forecasters rate the November 3 contest as safe or solid Republican, aligning with trader pricing that assigns Taylor an 85.5% implied probability of victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$43,947Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brent Taylor secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with former President Trump’s endorsement after Tennessee Republicans redrew the ninth district map to incorporate more rural, Republican-leaning territory stretching from Memphis toward Nashville. The revised boundaries shifted the seat from a long-held Democratic stronghold to one that favored Trump by roughly 22 points in 2024, prompting incumbent Steve Cohen’s retirement. Justin Pearson won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in the altered electorate despite strong fundraising. Election forecasters rate the November 3 contest as safe or solid Republican, aligning with trader pricing that assigns Taylor an 85.5% implied probability of victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$43,947Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brent Taylor secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with former President Trump’s endorsement after Tennessee Republicans redrew the ninth district map to incorporate more rural, Republican-leaning territory stretching from Memphis toward Nashville. The revised boundaries shifted the seat from a long-held Democratic stronghold to one that favored Trump by roughly 22 points in 2024, prompting incumbent Steve Cohen’s retirement. Justin Pearson won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in the altered electorate despite strong fundraising. Election forecasters rate the November 3 contest as safe or solid Republican, aligning with trader pricing that assigns Taylor an 85.5% implied probability of victory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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