Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in New York's 20th congressional district, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and his long record of reelection in a seat rated Solid Democrat by multiple forecasters. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, leaving Tonko with extensive name recognition, superior fundraising, and institutional support ahead of the November 3 general election. The Republican challenger, Ralph Ambrosio, has raised far less and lacks visible momentum in a district that has favored Democrats by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices Tonko near 96 percent, consistent with historical patterns for similar safe seats. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political realignment could still shift the race before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-20
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-20
$35,403 Vol.
$35,403 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Paul Tonko (D)
96%
Ralph Ambrosio (R)
3%
$35,403 Vol.
$35,403 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Paul Tonko (D)
$16,564 Vol.
96%
Ralph Ambrosio (R)
$18,839 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in New York's 20th congressional district, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and his long record of reelection in a seat rated Solid Democrat by multiple forecasters. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, leaving Tonko with extensive name recognition, superior fundraising, and institutional support ahead of the November 3 general election. The Republican challenger, Ralph Ambrosio, has raised far less and lacks visible momentum in a district that has favored Democrats by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices Tonko near 96 percent, consistent with historical patterns for similar safe seats. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political realignment could still shift the race before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$35,403Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in New York's 20th congressional district, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and his long record of reelection in a seat rated Solid Democrat by multiple forecasters. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, leaving Tonko with extensive name recognition, superior fundraising, and institutional support ahead of the November 3 general election. The Republican challenger, Ralph Ambrosio, has raised far less and lacks visible momentum in a district that has favored Democrats by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices Tonko near 96 percent, consistent with historical patterns for similar safe seats. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political realignment could still shift the race before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$35,403Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in New York's 20th congressional district, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and his long record of reelection in a seat rated Solid Democrat by multiple forecasters. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, leaving Tonko with extensive name recognition, superior fundraising, and institutional support ahead of the November 3 general election. The Republican challenger, Ralph Ambrosio, has raised far less and lacks visible momentum in a district that has favored Democrats by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices Tonko near 96 percent, consistent with historical patterns for similar safe seats. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political realignment could still shift the race before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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