Bobby Scott’s commanding position in the Virginia 3rd congressional district race stems from the seat’s entrenched Democratic lean, his long incumbency since 1993, and a 70 percent victory margin in 2024. The district, covering parts of Hampton Roads including Norfolk and Newport News, consistently favors Democratic candidates by wide margins. Scott’s substantial fundraising advantage—nearly $688,000 raised compared with challenger Edwin Rivera’s roughly $6,500—underscores limited Republican resources and visibility. Rivera, an Army veteran and former police officer, faces two independent candidates as well. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Scott, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter outcomes, though historical patterns and current indicators show few realistic paths for an upset before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoVA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
VA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$63,234 Vol.
$63,234 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bobby Scott (D)
97%
Edwin Rivera (R)
4%
$63,234 Vol.
$63,234 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bobby Scott (D)
$21,571 Vol.
97%
Edwin Rivera (R)
$41,664 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bobby Scott’s commanding position in the Virginia 3rd congressional district race stems from the seat’s entrenched Democratic lean, his long incumbency since 1993, and a 70 percent victory margin in 2024. The district, covering parts of Hampton Roads including Norfolk and Newport News, consistently favors Democratic candidates by wide margins. Scott’s substantial fundraising advantage—nearly $688,000 raised compared with challenger Edwin Rivera’s roughly $6,500—underscores limited Republican resources and visibility. Rivera, an Army veteran and former police officer, faces two independent candidates as well. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Scott, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter outcomes, though historical patterns and current indicators show few realistic paths for an upset before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$63,234Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bobby Scott’s commanding position in the Virginia 3rd congressional district race stems from the seat’s entrenched Democratic lean, his long incumbency since 1993, and a 70 percent victory margin in 2024. The district, covering parts of Hampton Roads including Norfolk and Newport News, consistently favors Democratic candidates by wide margins. Scott’s substantial fundraising advantage—nearly $688,000 raised compared with challenger Edwin Rivera’s roughly $6,500—underscores limited Republican resources and visibility. Rivera, an Army veteran and former police officer, faces two independent candidates as well. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Scott, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter outcomes, though historical patterns and current indicators show few realistic paths for an upset before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$63,234Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bobby Scott’s commanding position in the Virginia 3rd congressional district race stems from the seat’s entrenched Democratic lean, his long incumbency since 1993, and a 70 percent victory margin in 2024. The district, covering parts of Hampton Roads including Norfolk and Newport News, consistently favors Democratic candidates by wide margins. Scott’s substantial fundraising advantage—nearly $688,000 raised compared with challenger Edwin Rivera’s roughly $6,500—underscores limited Republican resources and visibility. Rivera, an Army veteran and former police officer, faces two independent candidates as well. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Scott, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter outcomes, though historical patterns and current indicators show few realistic paths for an upset before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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