Trader consensus prices "Nothing" near 99.7% because August 2026 produced none of the market's explicit resolution triggers, including a WTI crude spike to $150, a finalized U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement, Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, Clarity Act passage, Federal Reserve emergency cut, or closure of the Bab el-Mandeb or Strait of Hormuz. Congressional recess limited legislative activity, while ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East and elsewhere did not reach the defined thresholds. Routine developments such as national elections in Zambia, a total solar eclipse visible in parts of Europe, and various natural disasters occurred without altering the listed conditions. Even at these elevated levels, late-month announcements on energy prices, diplomatic breakthroughs, or emergency policy shifts could still have shifted outcomes before the August 31 cutoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNunca pasa nada: agosto
Nunca pasa nada: agosto
Nada
>99% probabilidad
$33,677 Vol.
$33,677 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Nada
>99% probabilidad
$33,677 Vol.
$33,677 Vol.
31 ago 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law
- Fed emergency rate cut
- Iran targets Ukraine
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_August.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" near 99.7% because August 2026 produced none of the market's explicit resolution triggers, including a WTI crude spike to $150, a finalized U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement, Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, Clarity Act passage, Federal Reserve emergency cut, or closure of the Bab el-Mandeb or Strait of Hormuz. Congressional recess limited legislative activity, while ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East and elsewhere did not reach the defined thresholds. Routine developments such as national elections in Zambia, a total solar eclipse visible in parts of Europe, and various natural disasters occurred without altering the listed conditions. Even at these elevated levels, late-month announcements on energy prices, diplomatic breakthroughs, or emergency policy shifts could still have shifted outcomes before the August 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law
- Fed emergency rate cut
- Iran targets Ukraine
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_August.pdf
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law
- Fed emergency rate cut
- Iran targets Ukraine
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_August.pdf
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Volumen
$33,677Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law
- Fed emergency rate cut
- Iran targets Ukraine
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_August.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" near 99.7% because August 2026 produced none of the market's explicit resolution triggers, including a WTI crude spike to $150, a finalized U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement, Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, Clarity Act passage, Federal Reserve emergency cut, or closure of the Bab el-Mandeb or Strait of Hormuz. Congressional recess limited legislative activity, while ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East and elsewhere did not reach the defined thresholds. Routine developments such as national elections in Zambia, a total solar eclipse visible in parts of Europe, and various natural disasters occurred without altering the listed conditions. Even at these elevated levels, late-month announcements on energy prices, diplomatic breakthroughs, or emergency policy shifts could still have shifted outcomes before the August 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law
- Fed emergency rate cut
- Iran targets Ukraine
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_August.pdf
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law
- Fed emergency rate cut
- Iran targets Ukraine
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_August.pdf
Volumen
$33,677Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" near 99.7% because August 2026 produced none of the market's explicit resolution triggers, including a WTI crude spike to $150, a finalized U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement, Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, Clarity Act passage, Federal Reserve emergency cut, or closure of the Bab el-Mandeb or Strait of Hormuz. Congressional recess limited legislative activity, while ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East and elsewhere did not reach the defined thresholds. Routine developments such as national elections in Zambia, a total solar eclipse visible in parts of Europe, and various natural disasters occurred without altering the listed conditions. Even at these elevated levels, late-month announcements on energy prices, diplomatic breakthroughs, or emergency policy shifts could still have shifted outcomes before the August 31 cutoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes