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icon for Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar

Weverton Rocha 34%

Lahesio Bonfim 25.3%

Fufuca 23%

Roseana Sarney 11%

Polymarket

$35,060 Vol.

Weverton Rocha 34%

Lahesio Bonfim 25.3%

Fufuca 23%

Roseana Sarney 11%

Polymarket

$35,060 Vol.

icon for Weverton Rocha

Weverton Rocha

$12,943 Vol.

34%

icon for Lahesio Bonfim

Lahesio Bonfim

$2,277 Vol.

25%

icon for Fufuca

Fufuca

$5,749 Vol.

23%

icon for Roseana Sarney

Roseana Sarney

$8,286 Vol.

11%

icon for Eliziane Gama

Eliziane Gama

$1,639 Vol.

9%

icon for Raimundo Moreira

Raimundo Moreira

$621 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enilton Rodrigues

Enilton Rodrigues

$692 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wilson Leite

Wilson Leite

$633 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

$995 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cidônio Gonçalves

Cidônio Gonçalves

$519 Vol.

<1%

icon for Simplício Araújo

Simplício Araújo

$706 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Maranhão's October 4 Senate race shows five candidates statistically tied in consolidated vote shares near the top, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) at 18% and Weverton Rocha (PDT), André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), and Eliziane Gama (PT) clustered between 14% and 15%. This narrow spread among viable contenders, driven by shifting alliances and voter ability to select two candidates, sustains dispersed probabilities for second place. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probabilities to Weverton Rocha, Lahesio Bonfim, and Fufuca, reflecting their positioning in the latest surveys. Remaining candidates trail far behind. The three-week window until election day leaves room for final campaign dynamics or turnout variations to reorder the finish.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$35,060
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Maranhão's October 4 Senate race shows five candidates statistically tied in consolidated vote shares near the top, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) at 18% and Weverton Rocha (PDT), André Fufuca (PP), Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO), and Eliziane Gama (PT) clustered between 14% and 15%. This narrow spread among viable contenders, driven by shifting alliances and voter ability to select two candidates, sustains dispersed probabilities for second place. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probabilities to Weverton Rocha, Lahesio Bonfim, and Fufuca, reflecting their positioning in the latest surveys. Remaining candidates trail far behind. The three-week window until election day leaves room for final campaign dynamics or turnout variations to reorder the finish.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$35,060
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Weverton Rocha" con 34%, seguido de "Lahesio Bonfim" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 34¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar" ha generado $35.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar" es "Weverton Rocha" con 34%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Lahesio Bonfim" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Maranhão: 2do Lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.