Incumbent Bill Keating’s commanding position in the MA-09 general election stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean and his established record since 2013, which includes repeated reelection margins and strong primary performance against challenger Craig Swallow on September 1. The Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and similar outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s partisan voter index and Massachusetts’s broader electoral patterns. R. Tyler MacAllister, a local select board member who advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers in a constituency that delivered double-digit Democratic advantages in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95.2% for Keating reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or major candidate-specific events could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMA-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MA-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$23,264 Vol.
$23,264 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bill Keating (D)
95%
Tyler MacAllister (R)
5%
$23,264 Vol.
$23,264 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bill Keating (D)
$8,275 Vol.
95%
Tyler MacAllister (R)
$14,989 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bill Keating’s commanding position in the MA-09 general election stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean and his established record since 2013, which includes repeated reelection margins and strong primary performance against challenger Craig Swallow on September 1. The Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and similar outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s partisan voter index and Massachusetts’s broader electoral patterns. R. Tyler MacAllister, a local select board member who advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers in a constituency that delivered double-digit Democratic advantages in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95.2% for Keating reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or major candidate-specific events could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$23,264Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bill Keating’s commanding position in the MA-09 general election stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean and his established record since 2013, which includes repeated reelection margins and strong primary performance against challenger Craig Swallow on September 1. The Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and similar outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s partisan voter index and Massachusetts’s broader electoral patterns. R. Tyler MacAllister, a local select board member who advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers in a constituency that delivered double-digit Democratic advantages in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95.2% for Keating reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or major candidate-specific events could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$23,264Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Bill Keating’s commanding position in the MA-09 general election stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean and his established record since 2013, which includes repeated reelection margins and strong primary performance against challenger Craig Swallow on September 1. The Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and similar outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s partisan voter index and Massachusetts’s broader electoral patterns. R. Tyler MacAllister, a local select board member who advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers in a constituency that delivered double-digit Democratic advantages in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95.2% for Keating reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or major candidate-specific events could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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