Recent forecasts from multiple models for Guangzhou on September 10, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature of 24–26°C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and residual moisture from prior thunderstorms that may enhance overnight radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the historical average low of 24.6°C for the date while remaining well above the all-time record low of 19.4°C. Trader emphasis on the 23°C outcome reflects consensus around these mid-20s projections, whereas the notable implied probability for 19°C or below captures uncertainty in short-term model variability and potential for localized cooling under clearer conditions overnight. Updated observational data and refined runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will clarify resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Guangzhou el 10 de septiembre?
19°C o menos 90%
22°C 3%
21°C 2%
20°C <1%
19°C o menos
90%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
55%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C o más
<1%
19°C o menos 90%
22°C 3%
21°C 2%
20°C <1%
19°C o menos
90%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
55%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models for Guangzhou on September 10, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature of 24–26°C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and residual moisture from prior thunderstorms that may enhance overnight radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the historical average low of 24.6°C for the date while remaining well above the all-time record low of 19.4°C. Trader emphasis on the 23°C outcome reflects consensus around these mid-20s projections, whereas the notable implied probability for 19°C or below captures uncertainty in short-term model variability and potential for localized cooling under clearer conditions overnight. Updated observational data and refined runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will clarify resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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