The 30-year Treasury yield trades near 5.35% as of mid-September 2026, its highest level since 2007, after rising more than 70 basis points year-to-date amid persistent inflation and shifting monetary policy expectations. August CPI held at 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.4%, yet surging oil prices from geopolitical tensions have lifted breakevens and reinforced market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting above 70%. Heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits, combined with an expanding term premium, has kept long-end yields elevated despite solid recent auction demand. Traders assessing the lowest yield before 2027 will monitor upcoming inflation releases, labor data, and any FOMC signals on the policy path versus historical precedents for rate cycles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
30 dic 2026
Por debajo de 5,20%
80%
Por debajo del 5,15%
70%
Por debajo del 5,10%
63%
Por debajo del 5,05%
54%
Por debajo de 5,00%
46%
Por debajo del 4,95%
41%
Por debajo del 4,90%
37%
Por debajo del 4,80%
22%
Por debajo del 4,60%
16%
$143 Vol.
Por debajo de 5,20%
$0 Vol.
80%
Por debajo del 5,15%
$0 Vol.
70%
Por debajo del 5,10%
$60 Vol.
63%
Por debajo del 5,05%
$0 Vol.
54%
Por debajo de 5,00%
$15 Vol.
46%
Por debajo del 4,95%
$5 Vol.
41%
Por debajo del 4,90%
$62 Vol.
37%
Por debajo del 4,80%
$0 Vol.
22%
Por debajo del 4,60%
$0 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield trades near 5.35% as of mid-September 2026, its highest level since 2007, after rising more than 70 basis points year-to-date amid persistent inflation and shifting monetary policy expectations. August CPI held at 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.4%, yet surging oil prices from geopolitical tensions have lifted breakevens and reinforced market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting above 70%. Heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits, combined with an expanding term premium, has kept long-end yields elevated despite solid recent auction demand. Traders assessing the lowest yield before 2027 will monitor upcoming inflation releases, labor data, and any FOMC signals on the policy path versus historical precedents for rate cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$143Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield trades near 5.35% as of mid-September 2026, its highest level since 2007, after rising more than 70 basis points year-to-date amid persistent inflation and shifting monetary policy expectations. August CPI held at 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.4%, yet surging oil prices from geopolitical tensions have lifted breakevens and reinforced market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting above 70%. Heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits, combined with an expanding term premium, has kept long-end yields elevated despite solid recent auction demand. Traders assessing the lowest yield before 2027 will monitor upcoming inflation releases, labor data, and any FOMC signals on the policy path versus historical precedents for rate cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Volumen
$143Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 30-year Treasury yield trades near 5.35% as of mid-September 2026, its highest level since 2007, after rising more than 70 basis points year-to-date amid persistent inflation and shifting monetary policy expectations. August CPI held at 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.4%, yet surging oil prices from geopolitical tensions have lifted breakevens and reinforced market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting above 70%. Heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits, combined with an expanding term premium, has kept long-end yields elevated despite solid recent auction demand. Traders assessing the lowest yield before 2027 will monitor upcoming inflation releases, labor data, and any FOMC signals on the policy path versus historical precedents for rate cycles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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