Recent U.S. economic data, including robust August payrolls, combined with rising energy prices from Middle East tensions and disappointment over the Treasury's $6 billion longer-dated buyback, have lifted the 30-year Treasury yield to around 5.28% as of September 9. These factors reinforce expectations for firmer monetary policy at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where markets assign elevated odds of a 25-basis-point hike amid sticky inflation readings. Upcoming PPI and CPI releases this week, alongside the policy decision, represent key near-term catalysts that could shift rate expectations and term premiums further. Strong capital demand tied to AI investment and persistent fiscal supply add structural support to long-end yields.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
30 sep 2026
5,60%
13%
5,55%
15%
5,50%
17%
5,45%
23%
5,42%
29%
5.39%
41%
5,36%
47%
5,33%
74%
5,30%
88%
$3,464 Vol.
5,60%
$20 Vol.
13%
5,55%
$0 Vol.
15%
5,50%
$0 Vol.
17%
5,45%
$0 Vol.
23%
5,42%
$0 Vol.
29%
5.39%
$0 Vol.
41%
5,36%
$0 Vol.
47%
5,33%
$2,346 Vol.
74%
5,30%
$1,098 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent U.S. economic data, including robust August payrolls, combined with rising energy prices from Middle East tensions and disappointment over the Treasury's $6 billion longer-dated buyback, have lifted the 30-year Treasury yield to around 5.28% as of September 9. These factors reinforce expectations for firmer monetary policy at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where markets assign elevated odds of a 25-basis-point hike amid sticky inflation readings. Upcoming PPI and CPI releases this week, alongside the policy decision, represent key near-term catalysts that could shift rate expectations and term premiums further. Strong capital demand tied to AI investment and persistent fiscal supply add structural support to long-end yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Volumen
$3,464Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent U.S. economic data, including robust August payrolls, combined with rising energy prices from Middle East tensions and disappointment over the Treasury's $6 billion longer-dated buyback, have lifted the 30-year Treasury yield to around 5.28% as of September 9. These factors reinforce expectations for firmer monetary policy at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where markets assign elevated odds of a 25-basis-point hike amid sticky inflation readings. Upcoming PPI and CPI releases this week, alongside the policy decision, represent key near-term catalysts that could shift rate expectations and term premiums further. Strong capital demand tied to AI investment and persistent fiscal supply add structural support to long-end yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Volumen
$3,464Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. economic data, including robust August payrolls, combined with rising energy prices from Middle East tensions and disappointment over the Treasury's $6 billion longer-dated buyback, have lifted the 30-year Treasury yield to around 5.28% as of September 9. These factors reinforce expectations for firmer monetary policy at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where markets assign elevated odds of a 25-basis-point hike amid sticky inflation readings. Upcoming PPI and CPI releases this week, alongside the policy decision, represent key near-term catalysts that could shift rate expectations and term premiums further. Strong capital demand tied to AI investment and persistent fiscal supply add structural support to long-end yields.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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