Sam Altman's September 12, 2026 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO in favor of 2027 or later to prioritize AI safety and alignment have reinforced trader expectations for a sizable debut, with the 1.5T+ market cap outcome commanding 74.1% implied probability. The company's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, last private valuation near $852 billion, and revenue run rate above $40 billion annualized underpin optimism for substantial growth by listing, despite ongoing losses and heavy compute commitments. Analysts note Altman's $1 trillion valuation floor as a key anchor, while Anthropic's anticipated earlier float and broader AI sector multiples provide comparable benchmarks. Key near-term catalysts include further safety-related industry coordination and any updates on OpenAI's path to public-company readiness by late 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1.5T+ 74.0%
1,25T–1,5T 12%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027 5.5%
1T–1.25T 5.0%
$278,963 Vol.
$278,963 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<500B
<1%
500–750 mil millones
1%
750B–1T
3%
1T–1.25T
5%
1,25T–1,5T
12%
1.5T+
74%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027
6%
1.5T+ 74.0%
1,25T–1,5T 12%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027 5.5%
1T–1.25T 5.0%
$278,963 Vol.
$278,963 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<500B
$23,451 Vol.
<1%
500–750 mil millones
$22,615 Vol.
1%
750B–1T
$59,010 Vol.
3%
1T–1.25T
$35,307 Vol.
5%
1,25T–1,5T
$25,159 Vol.
12%
1.5T+
$60,056 Vol.
74%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027
$53,365 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Sam Altman's September 12, 2026 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO in favor of 2027 or later to prioritize AI safety and alignment have reinforced trader expectations for a sizable debut, with the 1.5T+ market cap outcome commanding 74.1% implied probability. The company's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, last private valuation near $852 billion, and revenue run rate above $40 billion annualized underpin optimism for substantial growth by listing, despite ongoing losses and heavy compute commitments. Analysts note Altman's $1 trillion valuation floor as a key anchor, while Anthropic's anticipated earlier float and broader AI sector multiples provide comparable benchmarks. Key near-term catalysts include further safety-related industry coordination and any updates on OpenAI's path to public-company readiness by late 2027.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volumen
$278,963Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2028Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Sam Altman's September 12, 2026 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO in favor of 2027 or later to prioritize AI safety and alignment have reinforced trader expectations for a sizable debut, with the 1.5T+ market cap outcome commanding 74.1% implied probability. The company's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, last private valuation near $852 billion, and revenue run rate above $40 billion annualized underpin optimism for substantial growth by listing, despite ongoing losses and heavy compute commitments. Analysts note Altman's $1 trillion valuation floor as a key anchor, while Anthropic's anticipated earlier float and broader AI sector multiples provide comparable benchmarks. Key near-term catalysts include further safety-related industry coordination and any updates on OpenAI's path to public-company readiness by late 2027.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$278,963Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2028Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sam Altman's September 12, 2026 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO in favor of 2027 or later to prioritize AI safety and alignment have reinforced trader expectations for a sizable debut, with the 1.5T+ market cap outcome commanding 74.1% implied probability. The company's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, last private valuation near $852 billion, and revenue run rate above $40 billion annualized underpin optimism for substantial growth by listing, despite ongoing losses and heavy compute commitments. Analysts note Altman's $1 trillion valuation floor as a key anchor, while Anthropic's anticipated earlier float and broader AI sector multiples provide comparable benchmarks. Key near-term catalysts include further safety-related industry coordination and any updates on OpenAI's path to public-company readiness by late 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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