Consistent numerical weather model consensus from sources including AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS projects a September 24 maximum near 34°C in Madrid under clear skies, light southerly or variable winds, and high-pressure subsidence with minimal moisture. This setup favors strong daytime heating on the meseta, pushing afternoon readings above the 1991–2020 average high of 24.6°C while remaining below record levels. Trader positioning, with 34°C at 61.5% implied probability and 35°C at 26.5%, aligns with the narrow forecast envelope and limited model spread, as stable anticyclonic conditions show little sign of shifting before resolution. Final official observations will determine the exact peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 24 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 24 de septiembre?
34°C 61%
35°C 26%
33°C 10%
36°C 3%
NUEVO
$16,217 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,217 Vol.
24 sep 2026
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
10%
34°C
61%
35°C
26%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o más
<1%
34°C 61%
35°C 26%
33°C 10%
36°C 3%
NUEVO
$16,217 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,217 Vol.
24 sep 2026
29°C o menos
$1,026 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,264 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$510 Vol.
2%
33°C
$2,678 Vol.
10%
34°C
$4,515 Vol.
61%
35°C
$3,310 Vol.
26%
36°C
$1,074 Vol.
3%
37°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,195 Vol.
<1%
39°C o más
$213 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consistent numerical weather model consensus from sources including AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS projects a September 24 maximum near 34°C in Madrid under clear skies, light southerly or variable winds, and high-pressure subsidence with minimal moisture. This setup favors strong daytime heating on the meseta, pushing afternoon readings above the 1991–2020 average high of 24.6°C while remaining below record levels. Trader positioning, with 34°C at 61.5% implied probability and 35°C at 26.5%, aligns with the narrow forecast envelope and limited model spread, as stable anticyclonic conditions show little sign of shifting before resolution. Final official observations will determine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$16,217Fecha de finalización
24 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consistent numerical weather model consensus from sources including AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS projects a September 24 maximum near 34°C in Madrid under clear skies, light southerly or variable winds, and high-pressure subsidence with minimal moisture. This setup favors strong daytime heating on the meseta, pushing afternoon readings above the 1991–2020 average high of 24.6°C while remaining below record levels. Trader positioning, with 34°C at 61.5% implied probability and 35°C at 26.5%, aligns with the narrow forecast envelope and limited model spread, as stable anticyclonic conditions show little sign of shifting before resolution. Final official observations will determine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$16,217Fecha de finalización
24 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Consistent numerical weather model consensus from sources including AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS projects a September 24 maximum near 34°C in Madrid under clear skies, light southerly or variable winds, and high-pressure subsidence with minimal moisture. This setup favors strong daytime heating on the meseta, pushing afternoon readings above the 1991–2020 average high of 24.6°C while remaining below record levels. Trader positioning, with 34°C at 61.5% implied probability and 35°C at 26.5%, aligns with the narrow forecast envelope and limited model spread, as stable anticyclonic conditions show little sign of shifting before resolution. Final official observations will determine the exact peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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