**Forecast models and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum of 26°C for Chengdu on September 13, 2026.** Mid-September marks the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin, following earlier September highs above 30°C; current atmospheric patterns, including light winds and partial cloud cover, limit further warming while preventing significant cooling. Official guidance from agencies tracking surface temperatures supports this precise peak, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability for 26°C. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include localized measurement variations at the designated station, unforecasted cloud dissipation leading to brief additional warming, or post-observation adjustments in final data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 13 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 13 de septiembre?
26°C 100.0%
20 °C o menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$87,846 Vol.
$87,846 Vol.
13 sep 2026
20 °C o menos
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sí
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o más
No
26°C 100.0%
20 °C o menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$87,846 Vol.
$87,846 Vol.
13 sep 2026
20 °C o menos
$3,248 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,571 Vol.
No
22°C
$21,314 Vol.
No
23°C
$15,083 Vol.
No
24°C
$11,884 Vol.
No
25°C
$8,660 Vol.
No
26°C
$10,674 Vol.
Sí
27°C
$6,647 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,166 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,333 Vol.
No
30°C o más
$1,268 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum of 26°C for Chengdu on September 13, 2026.** Mid-September marks the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin, following earlier September highs above 30°C; current atmospheric patterns, including light winds and partial cloud cover, limit further warming while preventing significant cooling. Official guidance from agencies tracking surface temperatures supports this precise peak, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability for 26°C.
Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include localized measurement variations at the designated station, unforecasted cloud dissipation leading to brief additional warming, or post-observation adjustments in final data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$87,846Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum of 26°C for Chengdu on September 13, 2026.** Mid-September marks the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin, following earlier September highs above 30°C; current atmospheric patterns, including light winds and partial cloud cover, limit further warming while preventing significant cooling. Official guidance from agencies tracking surface temperatures supports this precise peak, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability for 26°C.
Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include localized measurement variations at the designated station, unforecasted cloud dissipation leading to brief additional warming, or post-observation adjustments in final data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$87,846Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**Forecast models and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum of 26°C for Chengdu on September 13, 2026.** Mid-September marks the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin, following earlier September highs above 30°C; current atmospheric patterns, including light winds and partial cloud cover, limit further warming while preventing significant cooling. Official guidance from agencies tracking surface temperatures supports this precise peak, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability for 26°C. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include localized measurement variations at the designated station, unforecasted cloud dissipation leading to brief additional warming, or post-observation adjustments in final data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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