Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration point to a 23°C daily high in Beijing on September 24, driven by light rain and increased cloud cover associated with a high-altitude trough and weak cold-air influence arriving overnight. This follows today’s sunnier conditions near 30–32°C and aligns with historical September averages around 24.6°C. Trader consensus across the 23–25°C outcomes reflects model agreement on modest cooling and intermittent precipitation, tempered by uncertainty in exact timing, rainfall intensity, and localized variations that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and CMA briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for refining probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 24 de septiembre?
24°C 31%
23°C 26%
25°C 21%
22°C 11%
$12,051 Vol.
$12,051 Vol.
21°C o menos
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
26%
24°C
31%
25°C
21%
26°C
10%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
24°C 31%
23°C 26%
25°C 21%
22°C 11%
$12,051 Vol.
$12,051 Vol.
21°C o menos
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
26%
24°C
31%
25°C
21%
26°C
10%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration point to a 23°C daily high in Beijing on September 24, driven by light rain and increased cloud cover associated with a high-altitude trough and weak cold-air influence arriving overnight. This follows today’s sunnier conditions near 30–32°C and aligns with historical September averages around 24.6°C. Trader consensus across the 23–25°C outcomes reflects model agreement on modest cooling and intermittent precipitation, tempered by uncertainty in exact timing, rainfall intensity, and localized variations that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and CMA briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for refining probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes