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icon for ¿Eric Swalwell cobró antes del 30 de septiembre?

¿Eric Swalwell cobró antes del 30 de septiembre?

icon for ¿Eric Swalwell cobró antes del 30 de septiembre?

¿Eric Swalwell cobró antes del 30 de septiembre?

16% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

16% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Federal and state investigations into sexual misconduct allegations against former Rep. Eric Swalwell remain active following device seizures and home searches executed by the FBI in mid-August 2026 as part of a civil rights probe tied to the claims. Multiple women accused him of assault and other misconduct in April 2026, prompting his resignation from Congress and withdrawal from the California gubernatorial race. No indictments or formal charges have been announced by federal prosecutors, the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office, or Los Angeles authorities as of early September. Complex cases involving device analysis, evidence review, and potential grand jury proceedings typically require more time than the remaining window to September 30. Trader consensus at roughly 84% probability against charges by the deadline aligns with standard prosecutorial timelines in such matters.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$136
Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Federal and state investigations into sexual misconduct allegations against former Rep. Eric Swalwell remain active following device seizures and home searches executed by the FBI in mid-August 2026 as part of a civil rights probe tied to the claims. Multiple women accused him of assault and other misconduct in April 2026, prompting his resignation from Congress and withdrawal from the California gubernatorial race. No indictments or formal charges have been announced by federal prosecutors, the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office, or Los Angeles authorities as of early September. Complex cases involving device analysis, evidence review, and potential grand jury proceedings typically require more time than the remaining window to September 30. Trader consensus at roughly 84% probability against charges by the deadline aligns with standard prosecutorial timelines in such matters.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$136
Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Eric Swalwell cobró antes del 30 de septiembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Acusarán a Eric Swalwell antes del 30 de septiembre?" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 16¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 16% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Eric Swalwell cobró antes del 30 de septiembre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 21, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Eric Swalwell cobró antes del 30 de septiembre?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Eric Swalwell cobró antes del 30 de septiembre?" es "¿Acusarán a Eric Swalwell antes del 30 de septiembre?" con 16%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 16% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Eric Swalwell cobró antes del 30 de septiembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.