Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with 59.5% of the vote against Republican Mike Cargile, who received 40.4%. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Democratic based on its voting history and Torres’s established support in portions of Los Angeles and San Bernardino counties. Torres maintains a decisive fundraising advantage, reporting roughly $769,000 raised compared with Cargile’s under $5,000 through mid-2026. With no major polling shifts, district controversies, or national developments altering the baseline since the primary, trader pricing reflects broad consensus around her position ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually low Democratic turnout or late national political realignments, though structural factors limit the scope for an upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-35 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-35 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$36,362 Vol.
$36,362 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Norma Torres (D)
95%
Mike Cargile (R)
2%
$36,362 Vol.
$36,362 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Norma Torres (D)
$20,423 Vol.
95%
Mike Cargile (R)
$15,940 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with 59.5% of the vote against Republican Mike Cargile, who received 40.4%. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Democratic based on its voting history and Torres’s established support in portions of Los Angeles and San Bernardino counties. Torres maintains a decisive fundraising advantage, reporting roughly $769,000 raised compared with Cargile’s under $5,000 through mid-2026. With no major polling shifts, district controversies, or national developments altering the baseline since the primary, trader pricing reflects broad consensus around her position ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually low Democratic turnout or late national political realignments, though structural factors limit the scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$36,362Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with 59.5% of the vote against Republican Mike Cargile, who received 40.4%. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Democratic based on its voting history and Torres’s established support in portions of Los Angeles and San Bernardino counties. Torres maintains a decisive fundraising advantage, reporting roughly $769,000 raised compared with Cargile’s under $5,000 through mid-2026. With no major polling shifts, district controversies, or national developments altering the baseline since the primary, trader pricing reflects broad consensus around her position ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually low Democratic turnout or late national political realignments, though structural factors limit the scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$36,362Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with 59.5% of the vote against Republican Mike Cargile, who received 40.4%. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Democratic based on its voting history and Torres’s established support in portions of Los Angeles and San Bernardino counties. Torres maintains a decisive fundraising advantage, reporting roughly $769,000 raised compared with Cargile’s under $5,000 through mid-2026. With no major polling shifts, district controversies, or national developments altering the baseline since the primary, trader pricing reflects broad consensus around her position ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually low Democratic turnout or late national political realignments, though structural factors limit the scope for an upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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