Christina Bohannan leads the IA-01 House market at 73.5% because the southeastern Iowa district has produced three consecutive close contests, with the Democrat narrowing Miller-Meeks’s margin to under 1,000 votes in the 2024 rematch. As a 2026 midterm under Republican presidential control, the race aligns with historical patterns favoring the opposition party in competitive seats rated toss-ups by multiple forecasters. Both candidates have raised over $7 million, Bohannan maintains modest polling edges in available surveys, and the incumbent faces primary and general-election pressures amid national economic and foreign-policy conditions. Miller-Meeks’s 22.5% price reflects her established local profile and endorsements, though the district’s swing character keeps the outcome sensitive to late-cycle turnout and messaging on affordability and healthcare.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$28,227 Vol.
$28,227 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Christina Bohannan (D)
74%
Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)
22%
$28,227 Vol.
$28,227 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Christina Bohannan (D)
$18,485 Vol.
74%
Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)
$9,743 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Bohannan leads the IA-01 House market at 73.5% because the southeastern Iowa district has produced three consecutive close contests, with the Democrat narrowing Miller-Meeks’s margin to under 1,000 votes in the 2024 rematch. As a 2026 midterm under Republican presidential control, the race aligns with historical patterns favoring the opposition party in competitive seats rated toss-ups by multiple forecasters. Both candidates have raised over $7 million, Bohannan maintains modest polling edges in available surveys, and the incumbent faces primary and general-election pressures amid national economic and foreign-policy conditions. Miller-Meeks’s 22.5% price reflects her established local profile and endorsements, though the district’s swing character keeps the outcome sensitive to late-cycle turnout and messaging on affordability and healthcare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
Volumen
$28,227Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Bohannan leads the IA-01 House market at 73.5% because the southeastern Iowa district has produced three consecutive close contests, with the Democrat narrowing Miller-Meeks’s margin to under 1,000 votes in the 2024 rematch. As a 2026 midterm under Republican presidential control, the race aligns with historical patterns favoring the opposition party in competitive seats rated toss-ups by multiple forecasters. Both candidates have raised over $7 million, Bohannan maintains modest polling edges in available surveys, and the incumbent faces primary and general-election pressures amid national economic and foreign-policy conditions. Miller-Meeks’s 22.5% price reflects her established local profile and endorsements, though the district’s swing character keeps the outcome sensitive to late-cycle turnout and messaging on affordability and healthcare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,227Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christina Bohannan leads the IA-01 House market at 73.5% because the southeastern Iowa district has produced three consecutive close contests, with the Democrat narrowing Miller-Meeks’s margin to under 1,000 votes in the 2024 rematch. As a 2026 midterm under Republican presidential control, the race aligns with historical patterns favoring the opposition party in competitive seats rated toss-ups by multiple forecasters. Both candidates have raised over $7 million, Bohannan maintains modest polling edges in available surveys, and the incumbent faces primary and general-election pressures amid national economic and foreign-policy conditions. Miller-Meeks’s 22.5% price reflects her established local profile and endorsements, though the district’s swing character keeps the outcome sensitive to late-cycle turnout and messaging on affordability and healthcare.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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