In the Beauharnois riding for Quebec’s October 5 National Assembly election, trader consensus reflects a close contest between Parti Québécois candidate Alexandre Daneau and incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA Claude Reid. Recent provincial polling averages show the PQ holding steady near 29% support while the CAQ trails, creating opportunities for the opposition in former CAQ strongholds under the updated electoral map. Daneau, a local entrepreneur and community figure nominated in June, benefits from this broader shift, while Reid draws on incumbency advantages in a riding that favored the CAQ in 2022. Other candidates, including Liberal Charles Royer Tremblay and Conservative Angélika Homère, register minimal market pricing. The tight implied probabilities could separate with final-week campaign events, turnout patterns in Montérégie, or late provincial momentum swings between the two leading parties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAlexandre Daneau 51%
Claude Reid 51%
Charles Royer Tremblay 3.4%
Angélika Homère <1%

Alexandre Daneau
63%

Claude Reid
34%

Charles Royer Tremblay
3%

Angélika Homère
1%
Alexandre Daneau 51%
Claude Reid 51%
Charles Royer Tremblay 3.4%
Angélika Homère <1%

Alexandre Daneau
63%

Claude Reid
34%

Charles Royer Tremblay
3%

Angélika Homère
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Fuente de resolución
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Beauharnois riding for Quebec’s October 5 National Assembly election, trader consensus reflects a close contest between Parti Québécois candidate Alexandre Daneau and incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA Claude Reid. Recent provincial polling averages show the PQ holding steady near 29% support while the CAQ trails, creating opportunities for the opposition in former CAQ strongholds under the updated electoral map. Daneau, a local entrepreneur and community figure nominated in June, benefits from this broader shift, while Reid draws on incumbency advantages in a riding that favored the CAQ in 2022. Other candidates, including Liberal Charles Royer Tremblay and Conservative Angélika Homère, register minimal market pricing. The tight implied probabilities could separate with final-week campaign events, turnout patterns in Montérégie, or late provincial momentum swings between the two leading parties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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