**Jaques Wagner holds the strongest position for second place in the Bahia Senate race, backed by consistent polling showing him trailing leader Rui Costa while leading or tying the opposition field.** Recent Real Time Big Data surveys from early September place Costa at 26% in consolidated first-and-second vote intentions, with Wagner at 19%, João Roma at 17%, and Angelo Coronel at 15%—all within the margin of error for the second seat. Earlier Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas polls reinforced Wagner's edge in second-vote scenarios, though Roma has gained ground recently. High undecided and blank/null shares, combined with voters selecting two distinct candidates, sustain uncertainty among the challengers. Trader consensus at 60% for Wagner reflects this polling pattern, while Roma and Coronel trade lower amid the tight contest for the remaining spot ahead of the October 4 election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJaques Wagner 62%
João Roma 19.7%
Angelo Coronel 14.9%
Rui Costa 10.3%
$36,047 Vol.
$36,047 Vol.
Jaques Wagner
60%
João Roma
17%
Angelo Coronel
15%
Rui Costa
15%
Carlos Sodré
<1%
Gregorio Gould
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
<1%
Marcelo Millet
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
<1%
Professora Delliana
<1%
Jaques Wagner 62%
João Roma 19.7%
Angelo Coronel 14.9%
Rui Costa 10.3%
$36,047 Vol.
$36,047 Vol.
Jaques Wagner
60%
João Roma
17%
Angelo Coronel
15%
Rui Costa
15%
Carlos Sodré
<1%
Gregorio Gould
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
<1%
Marcelo Millet
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
<1%
Professora Delliana
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Jaques Wagner holds the strongest position for second place in the Bahia Senate race, backed by consistent polling showing him trailing leader Rui Costa while leading or tying the opposition field.** Recent Real Time Big Data surveys from early September place Costa at 26% in consolidated first-and-second vote intentions, with Wagner at 19%, João Roma at 17%, and Angelo Coronel at 15%—all within the margin of error for the second seat. Earlier Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas polls reinforced Wagner's edge in second-vote scenarios, though Roma has gained ground recently. High undecided and blank/null shares, combined with voters selecting two distinct candidates, sustain uncertainty among the challengers. Trader consensus at 60% for Wagner reflects this polling pattern, while Roma and Coronel trade lower amid the tight contest for the remaining spot ahead of the October 4 election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Rui Costa obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Bahía de 2026?
¿Obtendrá Filipe Barros la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Paraná de 2026?
¿Bia Kicis obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado del Distrito Federal de 2026?
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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