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icon for Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Amazonas

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Amazonas

icon for Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Amazonas

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Amazonas

Omar Aziz 52%

Profesora Maria do Carmo 37%

Roberto Cidade 14.9%

Gilberto Vasconcelos <1%

Polymarket

$29,667 Vol.

Omar Aziz 52%

Profesora Maria do Carmo 37%

Roberto Cidade 14.9%

Gilberto Vasconcelos <1%

Polymarket

$29,667 Vol.

icon for Omar Aziz

Omar Aziz

$9,912 Vol.

52%

icon for Profesora Maria do Carmo

Profesora Maria do Carmo

$6,375 Vol.

37%

icon for Roberto Cidade

Roberto Cidade

$5,213 Vol.

15%

icon for Gilberto Vasconcelos

Gilberto Vasconcelos

$2,187 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Daciolo

Cabo Daciolo

$1,960 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Almeida

David Almeida

$2,085 Vol.

<1%

icon for Isael Munduruku

Isael Munduruku

$1,935 Vol.

<1%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) holds a polling lead in the October 4 first-round contest for Amazonas governor, backed by his prior term as governor, Senate tenure, and a broad alliance including PSD, MDB, Republicanos, and PT-linked parties. Recent surveys from late August through mid-September place him in the mid-20s to low-30s percent range, ahead of Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), current governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), and David Almeida (Avante), with sizable undecided shares and regional splits such as stronger interior support for Aziz. Active campaigning, including candidate agendas and policy-focused interviews on fiscal management, health infrastructure, and labor rules, keeps the field competitive. Traders price Aziz as the narrow favorite while assigning elevated odds to a runoff or alternative winner given the fragmented field and October timeline.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$29,667
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) holds a polling lead in the October 4 first-round contest for Amazonas governor, backed by his prior term as governor, Senate tenure, and a broad alliance including PSD, MDB, Republicanos, and PT-linked parties. Recent surveys from late August through mid-September place him in the mid-20s to low-30s percent range, ahead of Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), current governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), and David Almeida (Avante), with sizable undecided shares and regional splits such as stronger interior support for Aziz. Active campaigning, including candidate agendas and policy-focused interviews on fiscal management, health infrastructure, and labor rules, keeps the field competitive. Traders price Aziz as the narrow favorite while assigning elevated odds to a runoff or alternative winner given the fragmented field and October timeline.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$29,667
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Amazonas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Omar Aziz" con 52%, seguido de "Profesora Maria do Carmo" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 52¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Amazonas" ha generado $29.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Amazonas", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Amazonas" es "Omar Aziz" con 52%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Profesora Maria do Carmo" con 37%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Amazonas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.