Alan Rick holds a 59% implied probability in the Acre gubernatorial race, reflecting his consistent leads in recent first-round polling at 33-39% compared to incumbent Mailza Assis at 24-26%. Rick, a Republicanos senator running for governor for the first time with a broad coalition, benefits from established name recognition and voter surveys showing strong head-to-head advantages. Assis, who assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Gladson Cameli's resignation, maintains 67% approval for her administration but trails in voting intentions amid six registered candidates ahead of the October 4 first round. Ongoing September campaign events, including debates and regional visits by frontrunners, have produced limited shifts, keeping minor contenders like Tião Bocalom below 18%. Trader pricing aligns with these polling patterns and coalition dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAlan Rick 61%
Mailza Assis 38%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
Eudo Raffael <1%
$38,246 Vol.
$38,246 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Alan Rick
61%
Mailza Assis
38%
Dr. Luisinho
<1%
Eudo Raffael
<1%
Thor Dantas
<1%
Tião Bocalom
<1%
Alan Rick 61%
Mailza Assis 38%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
Eudo Raffael <1%
$38,246 Vol.
$38,246 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Alan Rick
$20,747 Vol.
61%
Mailza Assis
$15,258 Vol.
38%
Dr. Luisinho
$602 Vol.
<1%
Eudo Raffael
$767 Vol.
<1%
Thor Dantas
$470 Vol.
<1%
Tião Bocalom
$402 Vol.
<1%
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Alan Rick holds a 59% implied probability in the Acre gubernatorial race, reflecting his consistent leads in recent first-round polling at 33-39% compared to incumbent Mailza Assis at 24-26%. Rick, a Republicanos senator running for governor for the first time with a broad coalition, benefits from established name recognition and voter surveys showing strong head-to-head advantages. Assis, who assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Gladson Cameli's resignation, maintains 67% approval for her administration but trails in voting intentions amid six registered candidates ahead of the October 4 first round. Ongoing September campaign events, including debates and regional visits by frontrunners, have produced limited shifts, keeping minor contenders like Tião Bocalom below 18%. Trader pricing aligns with these polling patterns and coalition dynamics.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Volumen
$38,246Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Alan Rick holds a 59% implied probability in the Acre gubernatorial race, reflecting his consistent leads in recent first-round polling at 33-39% compared to incumbent Mailza Assis at 24-26%. Rick, a Republicanos senator running for governor for the first time with a broad coalition, benefits from established name recognition and voter surveys showing strong head-to-head advantages. Assis, who assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Gladson Cameli's resignation, maintains 67% approval for her administration but trails in voting intentions amid six registered candidates ahead of the October 4 first round. Ongoing September campaign events, including debates and regional visits by frontrunners, have produced limited shifts, keeping minor contenders like Tião Bocalom below 18%. Trader pricing aligns with these polling patterns and coalition dynamics.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$38,246Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alan Rick holds a 59% implied probability in the Acre gubernatorial race, reflecting his consistent leads in recent first-round polling at 33-39% compared to incumbent Mailza Assis at 24-26%. Rick, a Republicanos senator running for governor for the first time with a broad coalition, benefits from established name recognition and voter surveys showing strong head-to-head advantages. Assis, who assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Gladson Cameli's resignation, maintains 67% approval for her administration but trails in voting intentions amid six registered candidates ahead of the October 4 first round. Ongoing September campaign events, including debates and regional visits by frontrunners, have produced limited shifts, keeping minor contenders like Tião Bocalom below 18%. Trader pricing aligns with these polling patterns and coalition dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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