Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama’s 1st Congressional District with 74.6% in the August 2026 special primary, backed by endorsements from President Trump, Manufacture Alabama, and the NRA. The district’s consistent Republican performance, reflected in solid or safe ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a GOP win on November 3. Former Representative Carl’s prior service and fundraising advantage reinforce positioning against Democratic nominee Clyde Jones Jr., who advanced unopposed. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national midterm shift remain the primary factors that could alter the outcome in this heavily Republican-leaning seat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAL-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
AL-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$47,794 Vol.
$47,794 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jerry Carl (R)
95%
Clyde Jones Jr. (D)
2%
$47,794 Vol.
$47,794 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jerry Carl (R)
$21,387 Vol.
95%
Clyde Jones Jr. (D)
$26,406 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama’s 1st Congressional District with 74.6% in the August 2026 special primary, backed by endorsements from President Trump, Manufacture Alabama, and the NRA. The district’s consistent Republican performance, reflected in solid or safe ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a GOP win on November 3. Former Representative Carl’s prior service and fundraising advantage reinforce positioning against Democratic nominee Clyde Jones Jr., who advanced unopposed. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national midterm shift remain the primary factors that could alter the outcome in this heavily Republican-leaning seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Volumen
$47,794Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama’s 1st Congressional District with 74.6% in the August 2026 special primary, backed by endorsements from President Trump, Manufacture Alabama, and the NRA. The district’s consistent Republican performance, reflected in solid or safe ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a GOP win on November 3. Former Representative Carl’s prior service and fundraising advantage reinforce positioning against Democratic nominee Clyde Jones Jr., who advanced unopposed. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national midterm shift remain the primary factors that could alter the outcome in this heavily Republican-leaning seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$47,794Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama’s 1st Congressional District with 74.6% in the August 2026 special primary, backed by endorsements from President Trump, Manufacture Alabama, and the NRA. The district’s consistent Republican performance, reflected in solid or safe ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, underpins the 95% trader consensus for a GOP win on November 3. Former Representative Carl’s prior service and fundraising advantage reinforce positioning against Democratic nominee Clyde Jones Jr., who advanced unopposed. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national midterm shift remain the primary factors that could alter the outcome in this heavily Republican-leaning seat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes