Tom Sell maintains a commanding lead in the TX-19 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 45 points, combined with his May 2026 primary runoff victory and substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million against Kyle Rable's under $32,000. As the open seat successor to retiring incumbent Jodey Arrington, Sell benefits from endorsements by House GOP leadership and business groups, while Rable, the Democratic nominee and former local party official, faces structural barriers in this sprawling West Texas district covering Lubbock and Abilene. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Sell aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTX-19 Wahlsieger
TX-19 Wahlsieger
$25,027 Vol.
$25,027 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Tom Sell (R)
95%
Kyle Rable (D)
5%
$25,027 Vol.
$25,027 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Tom Sell (R)
$2,921 Vol.
95%
Kyle Rable (D)
$22,106 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Sell maintains a commanding lead in the TX-19 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 45 points, combined with his May 2026 primary runoff victory and substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million against Kyle Rable's under $32,000. As the open seat successor to retiring incumbent Jodey Arrington, Sell benefits from endorsements by House GOP leadership and business groups, while Rable, the Democratic nominee and former local party official, faces structural barriers in this sprawling West Texas district covering Lubbock and Abilene. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Sell aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$25,027Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Sell maintains a commanding lead in the TX-19 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 45 points, combined with his May 2026 primary runoff victory and substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million against Kyle Rable's under $32,000. As the open seat successor to retiring incumbent Jodey Arrington, Sell benefits from endorsements by House GOP leadership and business groups, while Rable, the Democratic nominee and former local party official, faces structural barriers in this sprawling West Texas district covering Lubbock and Abilene. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Sell aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,027Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Sell maintains a commanding lead in the TX-19 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior presidential margins exceeding 45 points, combined with his May 2026 primary runoff victory and substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million against Kyle Rable's under $32,000. As the open seat successor to retiring incumbent Jodey Arrington, Sell benefits from endorsements by House GOP leadership and business groups, while Rable, the Democratic nominee and former local party official, faces structural barriers in this sprawling West Texas district covering Lubbock and Abilene. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Sell aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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