**Trump's administration has intensified its maximum-pressure sanctions campaign against Iran through Operation Economic Outcast, launched August 24, 2026, with Treasury and OFAC actions targeting digital assets, technology, gold, aviation, and shipping sectors plus dozens of designations tied to oil smuggling, proliferation, and terrorism financing.** These steps build on prior authorities such as E.O. 13902 and follow the collapse of the June 2026 U.S.-Iran MOU, renewed Strait of Hormuz tensions, and earlier 2026 military exchanges. A February 2026 executive order (E.O. 14382) already expanded related tariffs, while recent September actions further tightened aviation restrictions. Trader focus centers on whether these ongoing enforcement measures and sectoral determinations will prompt a new overarching executive order from Trump to broaden sanctions authorities or impose additional primary/secondary restrictions before any resolution window. Scheduled diplomatic or military developments, oil-market disruptions, or congressional signals on Iran policy could shift momentum around further executive action.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert15. September
7%
30. September
20%
$5,715 Vol.
15. September
7%
30. September
20%
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
Abwickler
0x65070BE91...Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x65070BE91...**Trump's administration has intensified its maximum-pressure sanctions campaign against Iran through Operation Economic Outcast, launched August 24, 2026, with Treasury and OFAC actions targeting digital assets, technology, gold, aviation, and shipping sectors plus dozens of designations tied to oil smuggling, proliferation, and terrorism financing.** These steps build on prior authorities such as E.O. 13902 and follow the collapse of the June 2026 U.S.-Iran MOU, renewed Strait of Hormuz tensions, and earlier 2026 military exchanges. A February 2026 executive order (E.O. 14382) already expanded related tariffs, while recent September actions further tightened aviation restrictions. Trader focus centers on whether these ongoing enforcement measures and sectoral determinations will prompt a new overarching executive order from Trump to broaden sanctions authorities or impose additional primary/secondary restrictions before any resolution window. Scheduled diplomatic or military developments, oil-market disruptions, or congressional signals on Iran policy could shift momentum around further executive action.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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