Julio Cesar and Marcelo Castro remain the leading contenders for second place in the Piauí Senate race, with recent June polling showing them clustered near the top in consolidated first- and second-vote scenarios behind or alongside each other. Their positions reflect backing from the state government coalition aligned with Governor Rafael Fonteles, including national PT support for Julio Cesar's candidacy. Ciro Nogueira trails in third amid elevated rejection levels that limit his expansion, while Tiago Junqueira and lower-polling names show minimal traction. With official candidacies registered in July and the October 4 vote approaching, the tight trader consensus on these frontrunners stems from limited new polling data and the structural dynamics of a two-seat contest where small shifts in undecided voters or turnout could separate the field.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSenatswahl in Piauí: 2. Platz
Julio Cesar 35.1%
Marcelo Castro 31.6%
Ciro Nogueira 15%
Tiago Junqueira 5.4%
$42,854 Vol.
$42,854 Vol.

Julio Cesar
35%

Marcelo Castro
32%

Ciro Nogueira
15%

Tiago Junqueira
5%

Toinho Dufrango
<1%

Francinaldo Leão
<1%

Alexandre Mariano
<1%

Maria Madalena Nunes
<1%

Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%

Cloves José
<1%

Dionisio Carvalho
<1%

Jardenya Bezerra
<1%

Antônio José Lira
<1%

Major Paulo Roberto
<1%

Antônio Barros
<1%

Danniel Rocha
<1%

Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%

Jorge Lopes
<1%

Pastor Sena
<1%

Pedro Laurentino
<1%
Julio Cesar 35.1%
Marcelo Castro 31.6%
Ciro Nogueira 15%
Tiago Junqueira 5.4%
$42,854 Vol.
$42,854 Vol.

Julio Cesar
35%

Marcelo Castro
32%

Ciro Nogueira
15%

Tiago Junqueira
5%

Toinho Dufrango
<1%

Francinaldo Leão
<1%

Alexandre Mariano
<1%

Maria Madalena Nunes
<1%

Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%

Cloves José
<1%

Dionisio Carvalho
<1%

Jardenya Bezerra
<1%

Antônio José Lira
<1%

Major Paulo Roberto
<1%

Antônio Barros
<1%

Danniel Rocha
<1%

Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%

Jorge Lopes
<1%

Pastor Sena
<1%

Pedro Laurentino
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Julio Cesar and Marcelo Castro remain the leading contenders for second place in the Piauí Senate race, with recent June polling showing them clustered near the top in consolidated first- and second-vote scenarios behind or alongside each other. Their positions reflect backing from the state government coalition aligned with Governor Rafael Fonteles, including national PT support for Julio Cesar's candidacy. Ciro Nogueira trails in third amid elevated rejection levels that limit his expansion, while Tiago Junqueira and lower-polling names show minimal traction. With official candidacies registered in July and the October 4 vote approaching, the tight trader consensus on these frontrunners stems from limited new polling data and the structural dynamics of a two-seat contest where small shifts in undecided voters or turnout could separate the field.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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