OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra has produced qualified executive comments about entering an “AGI era” rather than any formal announcement that the company has achieved its own definition of AGI—autonomous systems outperforming humans at most economically valuable work. President Greg Brockman described the September 3, 2026 release as potentially memorable as the starting point, while CEO Sam Altman has referenced an internal system possibly qualifying by year-end 2026 and noted the firm is roughly 80 percent of the way there. Traders assign an 81.5 percent probability to “No” because these statements fall short of the clear public declaration the market requires, safety incidents have prompted pauses and extra safeguards, and independent benchmarks show strong but incomplete agentic and reasoning gains. Key near-term catalysts include further internal research automation milestones and any cross-lab safety agreements that could influence disclosure timing before 2027.