Heavy rain and extensive cloud cover from an active weather system have suppressed nighttime radiative cooling across Tokyo on September 21, 2026, keeping surface temperatures from falling below the low 20s Celsius. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs converge on an overnight minimum near 22°C amid persistent precipitation and northerly flow, aligning with the 90% market-implied probability for that threshold. Historical September baselines for the city show typical lows around 18–20°C under clearer conditions, but the current moisture-laden airmass has elevated the floor. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of resolution at 22°C against minor uncertainty from localized variations or final observational adjustments once daily records close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 21. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 21. September?
22°C 93%
21°C 7%
20°C 4%
17°C oder weniger <1%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
17°C oder weniger
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
93%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
22°C 93%
21°C 7%
20°C 4%
17°C oder weniger <1%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
17°C oder weniger
$332 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,013 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$755 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$680 Vol.
4%
21°C
$935 Vol.
7%
22°C
$1,812 Vol.
93%
23°C
$1,196 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
27°C oder höher
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy rain and extensive cloud cover from an active weather system have suppressed nighttime radiative cooling across Tokyo on September 21, 2026, keeping surface temperatures from falling below the low 20s Celsius. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs converge on an overnight minimum near 22°C amid persistent precipitation and northerly flow, aligning with the 90% market-implied probability for that threshold. Historical September baselines for the city show typical lows around 18–20°C under clearer conditions, but the current moisture-laden airmass has elevated the floor. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of resolution at 22°C against minor uncertainty from localized variations or final observational adjustments once daily records close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$6,826Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy rain and extensive cloud cover from an active weather system have suppressed nighttime radiative cooling across Tokyo on September 21, 2026, keeping surface temperatures from falling below the low 20s Celsius. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs converge on an overnight minimum near 22°C amid persistent precipitation and northerly flow, aligning with the 90% market-implied probability for that threshold. Historical September baselines for the city show typical lows around 18–20°C under clearer conditions, but the current moisture-laden airmass has elevated the floor. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of resolution at 22°C against minor uncertainty from localized variations or final observational adjustments once daily records close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,826Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Heavy rain and extensive cloud cover from an active weather system have suppressed nighttime radiative cooling across Tokyo on September 21, 2026, keeping surface temperatures from falling below the low 20s Celsius. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs converge on an overnight minimum near 22°C amid persistent precipitation and northerly flow, aligning with the 90% market-implied probability for that threshold. Historical September baselines for the city show typical lows around 18–20°C under clearer conditions, but the current moisture-laden airmass has elevated the floor. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of resolution at 22°C against minor uncertainty from localized variations or final observational adjustments once daily records close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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