Official forecasts and real-time observations from monitoring stations indicate a daily maximum of 29°C in Chengdu on September 21, driven by a stable warm air mass, light winds, and partial cloud cover that limited daytime heating while preventing rapid cooling. Model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF aligned on this peak under typical late-summer humidity levels near 60-70%, consistent with climatological norms for the region where September highs often reach the upper 20s. Trader consensus at 100% for 29°C reflects this convergence of verified data. A sudden shift in steering patterns or unforecasted convective activity could alter the outcome, though current conditions make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 21. September?
29°C 100%
24°C oder weniger <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$49,745 Vol.
$49,745 Vol.
24°C oder weniger
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Ja
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C oder höher
Nein
29°C 100%
24°C oder weniger <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$49,745 Vol.
$49,745 Vol.
24°C oder weniger
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Ja
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official forecasts and real-time observations from monitoring stations indicate a daily maximum of 29°C in Chengdu on September 21, driven by a stable warm air mass, light winds, and partial cloud cover that limited daytime heating while preventing rapid cooling. Model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF aligned on this peak under typical late-summer humidity levels near 60-70%, consistent with climatological norms for the region where September highs often reach the upper 20s. Trader consensus at 100% for 29°C reflects this convergence of verified data. A sudden shift in steering patterns or unforecasted convective activity could alter the outcome, though current conditions make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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