**Trader consensus at 100% on 7°C** for Munich’s lowest temperature on September 12 reflects the latest forecast consensus from models aligned with Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance, showing overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds reaching a minimum near that threshold. This aligns with current surface observations and ensemble runs projecting stabilization around 7°C rather than the seasonal average low of ~10.5°C. The market’s overwhelming positioning captures the narrow uncertainty band remaining late in the day, with resolution based on official station measurements. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover reducing cooling, a late wind shift, or localized microclimate variations at the recording site that push the actual minimum 1–2°C higher or lower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in München am 12. September?
7°C 100.0%
4°C oder niedriger <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$1,268 Vol.
$1,268 Vol.
4°C oder niedriger
Nein
5°C
Nein
6°C
Nein
7°C
Ja
8°C
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C oder höher
Nein
7°C 100.0%
4°C oder niedriger <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$1,268 Vol.
$1,268 Vol.
4°C oder niedriger
Nein
5°C
Nein
6°C
Nein
7°C
Ja
8°C
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Trader consensus at 100% on 7°C** for Munich’s lowest temperature on September 12 reflects the latest forecast consensus from models aligned with Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance, showing overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds reaching a minimum near that threshold. This aligns with current surface observations and ensemble runs projecting stabilization around 7°C rather than the seasonal average low of ~10.5°C. The market’s overwhelming positioning captures the narrow uncertainty band remaining late in the day, with resolution based on official station measurements. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover reducing cooling, a late wind shift, or localized microclimate variations at the recording site that push the actual minimum 1–2°C higher or lower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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