Traders have converged on a 27°C low for Hong Kong on September 20 because official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded that minimum under clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and dew points near 25°C. Recent model runs from regional forecasts aligned closely with this value, showing limited overnight cooling typical for late-September subtropical nights. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this strong observational consensus, though an unexpected localized shower or instrument recalibration could introduce minor revision risk before final certification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 20. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 20. September?
27°C 100.0%
22°C oder darunter <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$27,337 Vol.
$27,337 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
22°C oder darunter
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Ja
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C oder höher
Nein
27°C 100.0%
22°C oder darunter <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$27,337 Vol.
$27,337 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
22°C oder darunter
$41 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$41 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$41 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$1,123 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$6,946 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$11,767 Vol.
Ja
28°C
$6,108 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$41 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$1,154 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$37 Vol.
Nein
32°C oder höher
$37 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on a 27°C low for Hong Kong on September 20 because official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded that minimum under clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and dew points near 25°C. Recent model runs from regional forecasts aligned closely with this value, showing limited overnight cooling typical for late-September subtropical nights. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this strong observational consensus, though an unexpected localized shower or instrument recalibration could introduce minor revision risk before final certification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$27,337Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on a 27°C low for Hong Kong on September 20 because official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded that minimum under clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and dew points near 25°C. Recent model runs from regional forecasts aligned closely with this value, showing limited overnight cooling typical for late-September subtropical nights. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this strong observational consensus, though an unexpected localized shower or instrument recalibration could introduce minor revision risk before final certification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$27,337Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Traders have converged on a 27°C low for Hong Kong on September 20 because official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded that minimum under clear, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and dew points near 25°C. Recent model runs from regional forecasts aligned closely with this value, showing limited overnight cooling typical for late-September subtropical nights. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this strong observational consensus, though an unexpected localized shower or instrument recalibration could introduce minor revision risk before final certification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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