Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS data, indicate a strong northerly flow and frontal system will bring widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms to Istanbul on September 23, limiting daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Official and ensemble guidance consistently points to a daily maximum near 17°C, with hourly peaks unlikely to exceed 18°C amid northerly winds of 10–18 km/h and high humidity. This aligns with climatological norms for late September but reflects a sharp drop from the 24–26°C highs observed on September 21. Trader consensus favoring 16–18°C outcomes reflects model agreement on these thresholds, though minor forecast revisions in the next 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if steering patterns or precipitation timing change.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 23. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 23. September?
17°C 46%
16°C 23%
18°C 21%
20°C 11%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
12°C oder weniger
2%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
6%
16°C
23%
17°C
46%
18°C
21%
19°C
10%
20°C
11%
21°C
3%
22°C oder mehr
<1%
17°C 46%
16°C 23%
18°C 21%
20°C 11%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
12°C oder weniger
$5 Vol.
2%
13°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$5 Vol.
4%
15°C
$62 Vol.
6%
16°C
$45 Vol.
23%
17°C
$81 Vol.
46%
18°C
$100 Vol.
21%
19°C
$31 Vol.
10%
20°C
$41 Vol.
11%
21°C
$163 Vol.
3%
22°C oder mehr
$27 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS data, indicate a strong northerly flow and frontal system will bring widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms to Istanbul on September 23, limiting daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Official and ensemble guidance consistently points to a daily maximum near 17°C, with hourly peaks unlikely to exceed 18°C amid northerly winds of 10–18 km/h and high humidity. This aligns with climatological norms for late September but reflects a sharp drop from the 24–26°C highs observed on September 21. Trader consensus favoring 16–18°C outcomes reflects model agreement on these thresholds, though minor forecast revisions in the next 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if steering patterns or precipitation timing change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$663Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS data, indicate a strong northerly flow and frontal system will bring widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms to Istanbul on September 23, limiting daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Official and ensemble guidance consistently points to a daily maximum near 17°C, with hourly peaks unlikely to exceed 18°C amid northerly winds of 10–18 km/h and high humidity. This aligns with climatological norms for late September but reflects a sharp drop from the 24–26°C highs observed on September 21. Trader consensus favoring 16–18°C outcomes reflects model agreement on these thresholds, though minor forecast revisions in the next 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if steering patterns or precipitation timing change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$663Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS data, indicate a strong northerly flow and frontal system will bring widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms to Istanbul on September 23, limiting daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Official and ensemble guidance consistently points to a daily maximum near 17°C, with hourly peaks unlikely to exceed 18°C amid northerly winds of 10–18 km/h and high humidity. This aligns with climatological norms for late September but reflects a sharp drop from the 24–26°C highs observed on September 21. Trader consensus favoring 16–18°C outcomes reflects model agreement on these thresholds, though minor forecast revisions in the next 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if steering patterns or precipitation timing change.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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