Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models converge on a peak afternoon temperature of 31–32°C for Beijing on September 23 under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies with light southerly winds. This positions 32°C as the market favorite because recent model runs show sufficient solar insolation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation to support that maximum before cooling begins after 15:00 local time. Seasonal norms for late September hover near 26°C, so the current warmth reflects a lingering warm anomaly without strong frontal systems or monsoon influences to suppress highs. Traders assign lower weight to 33°C+ outcomes due to expected humidity increases and partial cloud build-up that cap further warming, while sub-30°C scenarios remain improbable absent unexpected early cooling. Updated CMA guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 23. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 23. September?
32°C 49%
31°C 28%
33°C 22%
30°C 4%
NEU
$32,348 Vol.
NEU
$32,348 Vol.
23. Sep. 2026
26°C oder niedriger
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
28%
32°C
49%
33°C
22%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 49%
31°C 28%
33°C 22%
30°C 4%
NEU
$32,348 Vol.
NEU
$32,348 Vol.
23. Sep. 2026
26°C oder niedriger
$1,212 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,923 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,111 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,087 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,823 Vol.
4%
31°C
$7,790 Vol.
28%
32°C
$4,978 Vol.
49%
33°C
$5,515 Vol.
22%
34°C
$4,376 Vol.
1%
35°C
$343 Vol.
<1%
36°C oder höher
$188 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models converge on a peak afternoon temperature of 31–32°C for Beijing on September 23 under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies with light southerly winds. This positions 32°C as the market favorite because recent model runs show sufficient solar insolation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation to support that maximum before cooling begins after 15:00 local time. Seasonal norms for late September hover near 26°C, so the current warmth reflects a lingering warm anomaly without strong frontal systems or monsoon influences to suppress highs. Traders assign lower weight to 33°C+ outcomes due to expected humidity increases and partial cloud build-up that cap further warming, while sub-30°C scenarios remain improbable absent unexpected early cooling. Updated CMA guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$32,348Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models converge on a peak afternoon temperature of 31–32°C for Beijing on September 23 under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies with light southerly winds. This positions 32°C as the market favorite because recent model runs show sufficient solar insolation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation to support that maximum before cooling begins after 15:00 local time. Seasonal norms for late September hover near 26°C, so the current warmth reflects a lingering warm anomaly without strong frontal systems or monsoon influences to suppress highs. Traders assign lower weight to 33°C+ outcomes due to expected humidity increases and partial cloud build-up that cap further warming, while sub-30°C scenarios remain improbable absent unexpected early cooling. Updated CMA guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$32,348Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models converge on a peak afternoon temperature of 31–32°C for Beijing on September 23 under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies with light southerly winds. This positions 32°C as the market favorite because recent model runs show sufficient solar insolation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation to support that maximum before cooling begins after 15:00 local time. Seasonal norms for late September hover near 26°C, so the current warmth reflects a lingering warm anomaly without strong frontal systems or monsoon influences to suppress highs. Traders assign lower weight to 33°C+ outcomes due to expected humidity increases and partial cloud build-up that cap further warming, while sub-30°C scenarios remain improbable absent unexpected early cooling. Updated CMA guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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