Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies highlight incoming light rain and increased cloud cover across Chengdu on September 23, which will moderate diurnal temperature swings by limiting daytime heating and reducing nighttime radiative cooling. Current model consensus points to a daily minimum near 17–21°C amid humid conditions and light winds typical of the Sichuan basin, though slight variations in precipitation timing or frontal positioning could shift the low by several degrees. This uncertainty explains the near-even market split between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes, as traders weigh the insulating effects of clouds and rain against potential clearer spells that might allow greater cooling. Historical late-September baselines show averages around 18–20°C, underscoring how small forecast adjustments could resolve the close probabilities ahead of the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chengdu am 23. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Chengdu am 23. September?
15°C oder weniger 100%
25°C oder höher 97%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
15°C oder weniger
100%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
21%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C oder höher
97%
15°C oder weniger 100%
25°C oder höher 97%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
15°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
100%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
39%
19°C
$0 Vol.
40%
20°C
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C
$0 Vol.
21%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies highlight incoming light rain and increased cloud cover across Chengdu on September 23, which will moderate diurnal temperature swings by limiting daytime heating and reducing nighttime radiative cooling. Current model consensus points to a daily minimum near 17–21°C amid humid conditions and light winds typical of the Sichuan basin, though slight variations in precipitation timing or frontal positioning could shift the low by several degrees. This uncertainty explains the near-even market split between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes, as traders weigh the insulating effects of clouds and rain against potential clearer spells that might allow greater cooling. Historical late-September baselines show averages around 18–20°C, underscoring how small forecast adjustments could resolve the close probabilities ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies highlight incoming light rain and increased cloud cover across Chengdu on September 23, which will moderate diurnal temperature swings by limiting daytime heating and reducing nighttime radiative cooling. Current model consensus points to a daily minimum near 17–21°C amid humid conditions and light winds typical of the Sichuan basin, though slight variations in precipitation timing or frontal positioning could shift the low by several degrees. This uncertainty explains the near-even market split between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes, as traders weigh the insulating effects of clouds and rain against potential clearer spells that might allow greater cooling. Historical late-September baselines show averages around 18–20°C, underscoring how small forecast adjustments could resolve the close probabilities ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies highlight incoming light rain and increased cloud cover across Chengdu on September 23, which will moderate diurnal temperature swings by limiting daytime heating and reducing nighttime radiative cooling. Current model consensus points to a daily minimum near 17–21°C amid humid conditions and light winds typical of the Sichuan basin, though slight variations in precipitation timing or frontal positioning could shift the low by several degrees. This uncertainty explains the near-even market split between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes, as traders weigh the insulating effects of clouds and rain against potential clearer spells that might allow greater cooling. Historical late-September baselines show averages around 18–20°C, underscoring how small forecast adjustments could resolve the close probabilities ahead of the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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