Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature near 6–8°C for Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h, clearing skies after sunset, and dew points around 1–3°C that limit radiational cooling. Trader sentiment remains evenly split because small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed overnight could push the low several degrees either side of the 4–9°C cluster, where the tightest probabilities sit. Official guidance from regional forecasts emphasizes dry, stable conditions with no frontal passage expected, keeping the outcome within typical early-spring variability for the city rather than extreme cold or warmth. Updated runs tonight will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 22. September?
1°C oder darunter 89%
11°C oder höher 84%
8°C 37%
7°C 36%
1°C oder darunter
89%
2°C
18%
3°C
22%
4°C
24%
5°C
24%
6°C
20%
7°C
36%
8°C
37%
9°C
5%
10°C
5%
11°C oder höher
84%
1°C oder darunter 89%
11°C oder höher 84%
8°C 37%
7°C 36%
1°C oder darunter
89%
2°C
18%
3°C
22%
4°C
24%
5°C
24%
6°C
20%
7°C
36%
8°C
37%
9°C
5%
10°C
5%
11°C oder höher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature near 6–8°C for Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h, clearing skies after sunset, and dew points around 1–3°C that limit radiational cooling. Trader sentiment remains evenly split because small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed overnight could push the low several degrees either side of the 4–9°C cluster, where the tightest probabilities sit. Official guidance from regional forecasts emphasizes dry, stable conditions with no frontal passage expected, keeping the outcome within typical early-spring variability for the city rather than extreme cold or warmth. Updated runs tonight will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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