Persistent warm air masses and southerly flow across central Texas have kept overnight lows elevated in the low-to-mid 70s through mid-September 2026, consistent with record-high mean temperatures reported by local NWS offices and the absence of any significant frontal passages. Recent National Weather Service model consensus and observational trends from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport reinforced expectations for a minimum temperature settling near 70–71 °F on September 20, producing the market’s overwhelming 95.5 % implied probability for that bin. A late-day surge in cloud cover or an unforecast northerly wind shift could still push readings a degree or two lower, while any upward revision in post-event quality-controlled data might favor the adjacent 68–69 °F outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Austin am 20. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Austin am 20. September?
70-71 °F 99%
66-67°F 3%
68-69°F 3%
65°F oder darunter 2%
$568 Vol.
$568 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
65°F oder darunter
Nein
66-67°F
Nein
68-69°F
Nein
70-71 °F
Ja
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84°F oder höher
Nein
70-71 °F 99%
66-67°F 3%
68-69°F 3%
65°F oder darunter 2%
$568 Vol.
$568 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
65°F oder darunter
$0 Vol.
Nein
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
Nein
68-69°F
$8 Vol.
Nein
70-71 °F
$35 Vol.
Ja
72-73°F
$221 Vol.
Nein
74-75°F
$77 Vol.
Nein
76-77°F
$61 Vol.
Nein
78-79°F
$73 Vol.
Nein
80-81°F
$31 Vol.
Nein
82-83°F
$31 Vol.
Nein
84°F oder höher
$31 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm air masses and southerly flow across central Texas have kept overnight lows elevated in the low-to-mid 70s through mid-September 2026, consistent with record-high mean temperatures reported by local NWS offices and the absence of any significant frontal passages. Recent National Weather Service model consensus and observational trends from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport reinforced expectations for a minimum temperature settling near 70–71 °F on September 20, producing the market’s overwhelming 95.5 % implied probability for that bin. A late-day surge in cloud cover or an unforecast northerly wind shift could still push readings a degree or two lower, while any upward revision in post-event quality-controlled data might favor the adjacent 68–69 °F outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$568Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm air masses and southerly flow across central Texas have kept overnight lows elevated in the low-to-mid 70s through mid-September 2026, consistent with record-high mean temperatures reported by local NWS offices and the absence of any significant frontal passages. Recent National Weather Service model consensus and observational trends from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport reinforced expectations for a minimum temperature settling near 70–71 °F on September 20, producing the market’s overwhelming 95.5 % implied probability for that bin. A late-day surge in cloud cover or an unforecast northerly wind shift could still push readings a degree or two lower, while any upward revision in post-event quality-controlled data might favor the adjacent 68–69 °F outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$568Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Persistent warm air masses and southerly flow across central Texas have kept overnight lows elevated in the low-to-mid 70s through mid-September 2026, consistent with record-high mean temperatures reported by local NWS offices and the absence of any significant frontal passages. Recent National Weather Service model consensus and observational trends from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport reinforced expectations for a minimum temperature settling near 70–71 °F on September 20, producing the market’s overwhelming 95.5 % implied probability for that bin. A late-day surge in cloud cover or an unforecast northerly wind shift could still push readings a degree or two lower, while any upward revision in post-event quality-controlled data might favor the adjacent 68–69 °F outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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