Current forecasts from models like GFS indicate an overnight minimum near 10–11°C in Amsterdam on September 10, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that promote radiative cooling after sunset. Historical averages place the daily low at 11.3°C, with recent years showing variability from 8–10°C under similar late-summer conditions. Subtle differences between 9°C and 10°C outcomes hinge on exact dew point depression, wind mixing, and the timing of the minimum near sunrise, as even minor increases in cloud cover or breeze can limit further cooling. Trader consensus around these closely matched probabilities reflects ongoing model updates and the narrow margin for local observational variance at stations like Schiphol.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 10. September?
6°C oder niedriger 49%
9°C 43%
8°C 3%
7°C 3%
6°C oder niedriger
49%
7°C
3%
8°C
3%
9°C
43%
10°C
46%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C oder höher
<1%
6°C oder niedriger 49%
9°C 43%
8°C 3%
7°C 3%
6°C oder niedriger
49%
7°C
3%
8°C
3%
9°C
43%
10°C
46%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models like GFS indicate an overnight minimum near 10–11°C in Amsterdam on September 10, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that promote radiative cooling after sunset. Historical averages place the daily low at 11.3°C, with recent years showing variability from 8–10°C under similar late-summer conditions. Subtle differences between 9°C and 10°C outcomes hinge on exact dew point depression, wind mixing, and the timing of the minimum near sunrise, as even minor increases in cloud cover or breeze can limit further cooling. Trader consensus around these closely matched probabilities reflects ongoing model updates and the narrow margin for local observational variance at stations like Schiphol.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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