Trader consensus favoring 140-159 SpaceX launches in 2026 stems from the Falcon 9 fleet surpassing 100 missions by late August, driven by frequent Starlink deployments from Vandenberg and Cape Canaveral alongside crewed and commercial payloads. Booster reuse rates exceeding 20 flights per core sustain the cadence, while Starship Flight 14's planned mid-September orbital attempt marks the shift toward higher-capacity vehicles. With roughly 110 missions completed by early September and remaining windows for additional Starlink batches, Crew-13, and SDA payloads, market-implied odds align with historical acceleration patterns and current manifest momentum through year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie viele SpaceX-Starts im Jahr 2026?
140-159 81.5%
160-179 13.5%
120-139 5.2%
200 oder mehr 1.9%
$333,201 Vol.
$333,201 Vol.
100-119
<1%
120-139
5%
140-159
82%
160-179
13%
180-199
1%
200 oder mehr
2%
140-159 81.5%
160-179 13.5%
120-139 5.2%
200 oder mehr 1.9%
$333,201 Vol.
$333,201 Vol.
100-119
<1%
120-139
5%
140-159
82%
160-179
13%
180-199
1%
200 oder mehr
2%
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 16, 2026, 12:42 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favoring 140-159 SpaceX launches in 2026 stems from the Falcon 9 fleet surpassing 100 missions by late August, driven by frequent Starlink deployments from Vandenberg and Cape Canaveral alongside crewed and commercial payloads. Booster reuse rates exceeding 20 flights per core sustain the cadence, while Starship Flight 14's planned mid-September orbital attempt marks the shift toward higher-capacity vehicles. With roughly 110 missions completed by early September and remaining windows for additional Starlink batches, Crew-13, and SDA payloads, market-implied odds align with historical acceleration patterns and current manifest momentum through year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen