**Official observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm a daily maximum of 23°C in Tokyo on September 12, 2026, under cloudy skies with light rain and northeast winds that limited daytime heating.** Recent model runs and station data align closely with this value, reflecting typical early-September conditions near the seasonal average of roughly 23–25°C and showing no late surge from clearer skies or southerly flow. The market’s near-certain pricing for 23°C reflects real-time verification of recorded highs across central Tokyo stations, with minimal dispersion in official reports. Only an unusually large post-observation correction or station-specific discrepancy would shift the outcome, though current data consistency makes such revisions improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 12. September?
23°C 100.0%
18°C oder niedriger <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$38,381 Vol.
$38,381 Vol.
18°C oder niedriger
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Ja
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C oder höher
Nein
23°C 100.0%
18°C oder niedriger <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$38,381 Vol.
$38,381 Vol.
18°C oder niedriger
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Ja
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Official observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm a daily maximum of 23°C in Tokyo on September 12, 2026, under cloudy skies with light rain and northeast winds that limited daytime heating.** Recent model runs and station data align closely with this value, reflecting typical early-September conditions near the seasonal average of roughly 23–25°C and showing no late surge from clearer skies or southerly flow. The market’s near-certain pricing for 23°C reflects real-time verification of recorded highs across central Tokyo stations, with minimal dispersion in official reports. Only an unusually large post-observation correction or station-specific discrepancy would shift the outcome, though current data consistency makes such revisions improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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