Official India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts for Lucknow on September 12, 2026, establish a daily maximum of 33°C under generally cloudy skies transitioning to partly cloudy with limited rainfall, aligning precisely with the market-implied 100% probability for that threshold. Multiple station reports, including Lucknow Airport, record this peak amid typical late-monsoon humidity levels near 70-80% and light easterly winds, consistent with regional model consensus from sources like IMD and international guidance. This outcome reflects strong data convergence rather than speculation. Only substantial, unforecast convective development or station-specific measurement anomalies could realistically shift the recorded high below 33°C before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 12. September?
33°C 100.0%
26°C oder weniger <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$16,281 Vol.
$16,281 Vol.
26°C oder weniger
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Ja
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C oder höher
Nein
33°C 100.0%
26°C oder weniger <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$16,281 Vol.
$16,281 Vol.
26°C oder weniger
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Ja
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official India Meteorological Department observations and forecasts for Lucknow on September 12, 2026, establish a daily maximum of 33°C under generally cloudy skies transitioning to partly cloudy with limited rainfall, aligning precisely with the market-implied 100% probability for that threshold. Multiple station reports, including Lucknow Airport, record this peak amid typical late-monsoon humidity levels near 70-80% and light easterly winds, consistent with regional model consensus from sources like IMD and international guidance. This outcome reflects strong data convergence rather than speculation. Only substantial, unforecast convective development or station-specific measurement anomalies could realistically shift the recorded high below 33°C before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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